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Strategies & Market Trends : Steve's Channelling Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (22881)8/3/2001 5:45:22 PM
From: Sully-  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30051
 
Zeev,

CBOE is showing p/c ratio at .75 at the cob today. It's not much higher than your number, but it did cross into mildly bullish territory. If you don't mind though, where did you get yours from?

cboe.com



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (22881)8/3/2001 6:34:57 PM
From: Mike M  Respond to of 30051
 
Yeah, I forget who, but somebody said we would hit a temp bottom Friday or today. Darned if this predicting stuff isn't in the too hard to do category.

I suspect that P/C ratio will probably be a better indicator of the next rally than new highs or A/D lines.



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (22881)8/3/2001 6:55:28 PM
From: Mike M  Respond to of 30051
 
...and the volume, well...the same with the A/D.

Everybody reads different things into the technicals. Jerry Favors' comments:

One strongly positive signal today was given by the Daily
Advance/Decline Line. While the Dow is still down 786 points
from its 11337 closing high for the year, the A/D Line today
rose to its highest reading for the entire year. That is
bullish action. Normally, when the direction of the Dow
differs from the direction of the A/D Line, the difference
will ultimately be resolved by the Dow confirming the action
in the A/D Line. In this case this would suggest that the Dow
will ultimately move even higher this year, despite any short-
term pullbacks.
Despite the rally this week, the Dow has still not reached
even mild overbought territory at this time. Today the 5-Day
RSI on the Dow closed at 63.81, still not yet exceeding the 70
level, which marks even mild overbought territory. So there is
still room for higher prices.
The Dow has a short-term upside projection calling for
10750, plus or minus 60 points intraday. That projection is
due next week.
The Cycles still call for the next high near Monday, August
6, plus or minus 1 day, and then a decline into August 9, plus
or minus 1 day.