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To: rolatzi who wrote (115640)8/5/2001 10:23:48 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Don't think you can broadbrush value as healthcare is pretty close to the top of its historical weight in the index. Basic materials and oil/gas are near the lows and their performance contingent on the dollar and the economies.

barra.com

select S&P 500 for index, and each of the two sectors

valuations for the S&P index, value or growth, aren't cheap

barra.com



To: rolatzi who wrote (115640)8/5/2001 10:41:00 AM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 436258
 
even he is looking for a meltup...geez...



To: rolatzi who wrote (115640)8/5/2001 3:43:48 PM
From: patron_anejo_por_favor  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
Grantham Gets It:

Q: You say we're still in a bubble. Everyone else thinks this is a bear market.
A: The peak was March 2000 and the market has come down a lot, but it has a whole lot further to fall. Great bear markets take their time. In 1929, we started a 17-year bear market, succeeded by a 20-year bull market, followed
in 1965 by a 17-year bear market, then an 18-year bull. Now we are going to have a one-year bear market? It doesn't sound very symmetrical. It is going to take years. We think the 10-year return from this point is negative 50 basis
points [a basis point is one one-hundredth of a percentage point] after inflation. We take inflation out to make everything consistent.


Exactly!



To: rolatzi who wrote (115640)8/5/2001 4:56:53 PM
From: NOW  Respond to of 436258
 
"If they get it wrong they can basically evaporate".
Referring to japan in your fine article. (thanks)
If Japan evaporates I'd say he is overly sanguine about the outlook for the US, dont you think?