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To: jim black who wrote (93244)8/7/2001 9:41:55 PM
From: Edmond Katonica  Respond to of 95453
 
Yes . Yes we are safe only if we think short term. Yet we plan so different.



To: jim black who wrote (93244)8/8/2001 10:41:27 AM
From: rolatzi  Respond to of 95453
 
Tokyo Earthquakes and the financial markets

Michael Lewis who wrote the Money Culture in 1991, has an essay on the probability of a massive
destructive earthquake in Tokyo and its potential effect on the US economy resulting from a
repatriation of Japanese assets from the US. The last major earthquake was in 1923 and
historically Tokyo has shown a periodicity of major earthquakes every 70 years going back several
hundred years. Tokyo is currently overdue for a major earthquake that will have profound
consequences on both Japan and the US. Obviously, the period is only approximate but if
anyone has a copy of Money Culture available could they list the last 5 or so major earthquakes that
occurred in Tokyo. The data was somewhat startling to me.

rolatzi