To: TigerPaw who wrote (5830 ) 8/9/2001 5:37:35 AM From: Neocon Respond to of 93284 This is from the AP coverage of the same story: David Wyss, chief economist at Standard & Poor's in New York, said he expected the economy would recover gradually with growth coming in at 2 percent in the current quarter and 3.5 percent by the fourth quarter this year. ``People always lose patience waiting for Fed rate cuts to take effect because they forget that it takes a long time to turn the economy around,'' Wyss said. The Fed's new survey, which was based on information collected in June and July, showed the economy skirting close to a recession. Manufacturing, which has lost 837,000 jobs since June 2000, was continuing to suffer in July, according to the Fed report, hit by falling demand domestically and in foreign markets. ``Sustained weakness in the manufacturing sector spilled over to other businesses, with many (Fed) districts indicating declines in demand for office space and trucking and shipping services,'' the Fed survey said. The survey reported retail sales ``generally were sluggish and frequently below expectations, despite substantial discounting on a wide range of consumer goods.'' The Fed did say the weak economy was helping to keep inflation pressures in check with the exception of employee benefit costs, which were rising because of higher health costs. The Labor Department (news - web sites) reported Friday that the unemployment rate remained at 4.5 percent in July, the highest point it has reached during the yearlong economic slowdown. Many economists are forecasting that it will top 5 percent by the end of this year even though they are looking for growth to gradually strengthen in coming months. -dailynews.yahoo.com