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To: HH who wrote (54436)8/9/2001 2:01:20 PM
From: RetiredNow  Respond to of 77400
 
There is more than one way to take people by surprise. There hasn't been any sudden fury since April before last. Instead this market has marched steadily downwards. I take a breather for a month, come back and find my portfolio is down 5%. I take another breather thinking that it will come back, and then a month later, it's down another 5%. This has been happening for a year. That's the way it will continue to happen for most of us. Except, I've just hardened my portfolio against that nonsense, by shifting the diversity of my portfolio and unloading a bunch of tech weighted funds.



To: HH who wrote (54436)8/9/2001 3:38:26 PM
From: tradermike_1999  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 

I am sure TraderMike is a competent guy and no doubt,
this advice is good. There may indeed be a collapse
and it may come at any time. My epxerience tells me that
when and if a collapse comes it will come with sudden
fury and take most by surprise. The current sentiment
is bearish now more than ever, which makes possible
some strong upside moves just as easily. In order for the Bear to feast, the table must be set.


On what do you base your claim that sentiment is bearish. Investor sentiment survey showed record bulls just a few weeks ago. Option sentiment indicators show complacency and not fear.