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To: schrodingers_cat who wrote (129899)8/10/2001 8:37:39 AM
From: Victor Lazlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
<<For example the digitization of broadcast television has yet to happen in the US, and is only just starting in Europe,>>

Cosumers in the US aren't going for it in big numbers. Looks like the benefits don't justify the prices to them. I think we'll see the fcc roll back the dig deadline for tv stations.

<<If more computer power makes voice recognition work well enough to be useful then that opens up another huge market.>>

PC sales and internet usage has topped out. Any further tech advanced will caus eonly incremental increases in users' acceptance, and not revoltunary levels like it's been over the last several years.

<< I don't know about the wireless internet, but if 3g just means that people can chat on the phone longer for the same price then I can see that people will want it. >>

It will not be for the same price- it will cost lots of $$ to roll out 3g, and there still is no killer applications that will drive demand for it.

<<Someday the nirvana of interactive TV, video on demand, will come cheap enough for customers to actually want it. >>

yup someday down the road. But for now the period of revolutionary tech advances coupled with broad market acceptance is over.

<< As far as businesses are concerned, I'm sure all those highly paid consultants will find some way keep IT spending up. >>

so far they're not doing that. Market realities are taking their toll. they have to.
again, just my opinion.