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To: bobby beara who wrote (1221)8/11/2001 6:55:50 AM
From: Justa Werkenstiff  Respond to of 1328
 
BB: Re: "Another, related theory is that the market will decline after volatility indices make such low readings. That is often true, but as we've often pointed out there
have been times in the past when the market rallied after a low volatility reading."

Sure would like some examples of this scenario instead of blanket statements. I have not seen this in this bear market to any large degree. Last August we had low complacency for a month but the broader averages did nothing much and the Nasdaq went up a few percent in that environment. Big deal. Now if he is talking about bull markets, then he has to make the case we are in a bull market or say that it does not matter that we are in a bear.



To: bobby beara who wrote (1221)8/11/2001 6:22:35 PM
From: ajtj99  Respond to of 1328
 
Bobby, I'm just going by what I've been seeing since this bear started last spring. I have to respect the trend, even if it only fits Larry's scenario part of the time.