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Strategies & Market Trends : Guidance and Visibility -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SusieQ1065 who wrote (10462)8/11/2001 12:58:50 PM
From: keithcray  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 208838
 
Technicals certainly support the bounce scenario, as short-term momentum indicators are oversold and put-call ratio is high... Also note that Nasdaq/NYSE volume indicator, a oft-used sentiment tool, showing lowest reading since 1998... With sentiment in tech sector so low, this contrary indicator suggests that techs are poised for a nice recovery rally.

Updated: 13-Aug-01

General Commentary

Sector was taken to the breaking point last week, but key supports held... The bulls will view sector's resilience as indication that bottom is in place and that market just waiting for more compelling evidence of an economic/earnings turnaround to stage a breakout rally... Bears look at repeated failures to the upside as evidence that it's just a matter of time before we break below the bottom of the May-Aug range and retest April lows.

Briefing.com remains a member of the bullish camp, though, as we noted late last week, we are growing less confident in our intermediate-term bullish outlook... Especially disturbing was last week's sloppy action in the larger-cap leadership names such as Sun (SUNW), Oracle (ORCL), IBM (IBM), Siebel Systems (SEBL), Veritas (VRTS), Cisco (CSCO), Brocade (BRCD, Nokia (NOK) and EMC (EMC)... Weakness in these stocks suggests that institutional investors walked away from sector... Without participation from the big boys will be tough for techs to sustain any upward momentum.

Whether buyers remain on strike or move back into the sector could hinge on this week's earnings reports from Ciena (CIEN), BEA Systems (BEAS), Hewlett-Packard (HWP), Network Appliance (NTAP) and Dell (DELL)... If the universal message is that conditions remain soft and no rebound is seen until some time next year, tough to imagine much buying interest developing... However, with expectations already low, if two or more of these companies offer any encouragement we could see a nice short-term run.

Technicals certainly support the bounce scenario, as short-term momentum indicators are oversold and put-call ratio is high... Also note that Nasdaq/NYSE volume indicator, a oft-used sentiment tool, showing lowest reading since 1998... With sentiment in tech sector so low, this contrary indicator suggests that techs are poised for a nice recovery rally.

Robert Walberg



To: SusieQ1065 who wrote (10462)8/11/2001 1:37:34 PM
From: ChrisJP  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 208838
 
Hi Susie, I hope the West Coast is having nicer weather than we're having in the mid-Atlantic. This week's forecast: Steam Bath. I'm not kidding.

I looked at FLEX and also at CMOS on Yahoo.

quote.yahoo.com

CMOS actually used to make money, lol. For some reason, analysts expect FLEX to make .74/share this year ending in March 02. We shall see. It still looks like its in a down trend but maybe it has support at $20 - $22.

Kind of tough to be upbeat on almost any tech stock right now, if you ask me. Some semis might be a buy, like the ones that supply the PC industry. Telecom semis .... not so sure.

But its nice to see you out stock shopping ! :-))

Take care,
Chris