SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Trading Machine who wrote (14686)8/11/2001 2:23:35 PM
From: Teresa Lo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
I think people know about the FA of the market. For example, at $200, they knew the P/E ratio of QCOM was astronomical but disregarded it anyway because it was going up. Besides, the Paine Webber analyst told them that it would go even higher. And this is a guy who is supposed to be an expert at FA!

I think one of the inherent difficulties is that with FA, it is not possible to do any "timing", and in fact, I don't imagine that it is even a tool designed for timing. FA can be out of line with price for significant amounts of time. On the upside, stocks were way overvalued, and at the bottoms, stocks can be way undervalued. And then, if you think about it, P/E will look terrible coming out of the trough because the P will lag the E, just like at the top, when it was the other way around.

So for trading purposes, one might be better served by technical analysis, but it doesn't hurt to know the FA either.

T.



To: Trading Machine who wrote (14686)8/11/2001 6:52:16 PM
From: phillong69  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
From my POV, P/E > 20 is gravity. Some combination of earnings going up and/or stocks going down has to occur.

Eventually.

And I can't disagree with you on that point. It seem that more often than not, we can figure out what the short term trend is.

BTW - don't forget that this is still a BEAR market until we get proved wrong. My inner bear is reminding me to get out with either a profit or my skin gggg.

Happy trading