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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: ru2 who wrote (14698)	8/13/2001 4:31:28 PM
From: bobby beara	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52237

ru2, just got back in from a little road trip, had 12 messages to my little bullie romp -g- 2 - bulls 4 - neutral to bearish 6 - bearish (this is a rough guestimation of anecdotal sentiment and there are a variety of time frames expressed, so no science here) where is all this complacency everybody is talking about -g- has anybody noticed the 10 day trin is approaching the march lows? as far as rydex the cash levels in rydex have oscillated between 3.5--6 times bullish nova (spx long) since around july 9th, at the bottom in late december this ratio got only to about 3.2, at the bottom in march and april it was at these levels, people seem to love cash here, remember when cash was trash -g- again where is the complacency everybody is talking about? sentiment is not the holy grail, because sentiment can trend longer before it turns back up, but i would say we are closer to the bottom than the top, there is a guy spamming a few threads about how to profit from the final big decline in nasdaq, why didn't he put that message up in late may or early june after the failing rally -g- i think we have a decent reversal here a half-arse morning star with a spring below support on nas, looks like the probability of at least a st rally is in the works, b _______________ Below are the results of our weekly "Guess the Dow" sentiment survey. The survey was taken from 08/6 through 08/12 on the LowRisk.com web site. Number of participants: 428 30 day outlook: 24% bullish, 41% previous week 59% bearish, 27% previous week 17% neutral, 32% previous week (percentages may not sum to 100 due to rounding) The median guess for the Dow closing value on Friday, 08/17: 10,256 (it was 10,500 last week). More complete sentiment data is available at: <http://www.lowrisk.com/sentiment.htm>. ----------- A note from our sponsor ---------------- Free paper trading program...open a new account and get $200 deposited into your account: > > > lowrisk.com < < < ------------------------------------------------------ We had a very dramatic swing in our sentiment readings last week, as the number of bears soared from 27% all the way up to 59%. That 32% jump ties for the second largest one week increase in bears that we have seen since we started this sentiment survey back in May, 1997. We had a 34% increase in bears on 4/16/00 and a 32% increase on 3/21/99. On both of those occasions the market rallied strongly the next week. I have now updated the historical data file of our sentiment readings. It contains all the past readings from 1997 to present. You can download that data at: lowrisk.com And don't forget to put in your opinion on the market for next week. It really helps our data. It only takes a minute at: lowrisk.com best regards, Jeff Walker Disclaimer: The financial markets are risky. Investing is risky. The foregoing has been prepared solely for informational purposes and is not a solicitation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Opinions are based on historical research and data believed reliable, but there is no guarantee that future results will be profitable.