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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Pink Minion who wrote (50417)	8/12/2001 7:46:51 AM
From: daryll40	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 70976

Not only did stocks return zero from '66-'82, but if you factor in the heavy inflation of that era, stocks actually DECLINED buy 75%. The dividend was higher, though, than today which is not factored in when looking at just stock prices alone. But the point is well taken. Also from 1929-1953 stocks returned zero and, believe it or not, from the 40 year period of 1900-1940.

To: Pink Minion who wrote (50417)	8/12/2001 12:43:38 PM
From: Tito L. Nisperos Jr.	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 70976

Ex-Dilbert, Relax. Smile. Every time you come here, it seems you are frustrated and angry with someone or something else. You see I myself have my Ups and Downs regularly but I still manage to smile my misfortunes away. It seems you were were not in a good mood when you said: --- "Stocks only go up in the long run. Even if it does happen, AMAT will still double in price every 2 years. If you don't dance with the cheerleaders here some might think you're being rude." Since the early 90s AMAT has been doubling in price every 2 years; since the 70s, more like every 3 years. But anything can happen from this day on. We could see AMAT trade at 8, at Book or zero --- if for some reason like they can't tolerate "bubbles" Investors get out altogether from stocks. Should the friend and adviser of Greenspan, who coined the phrase "Irrational Exuberance" be proven correct that the DOW is going to return to 6,000 ... well ... anything can happen like the sun suddenly seen rising from the west. But through experience I can say Cheerful Investing in AMAT (not Cheerleading as to taunt the Opposing team) is very rewarding. I was Lucky to have Predicted AMAT going above 100 during both Bull Markets of 1997 and 1999. My AMAT YoYo indicator is saying 100 again before this Bull Market Tops out --- if not this year then the next year or probably 3 years from the last Top (from Apr 2000). Time will tell. If the Bearish Paid Analysts and their followers should prevail and the stock market collapses from here, then many people around the world will be unemployed including them Analysts. Then people won't have money to buy things with CHIPs in it and AMAT will be gone including this Thread.