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Politics : War -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Thomas M. who wrote (2766)	8/14/2001 8:21:46 PM
From: goldsnow	Respond to of 23908

With only 8 per cent of world population, the Arab-Middle East has had some 25 per cent of all the world's armed conflicts since 1945. Most of these conflicts have been ethnically-based. Summary Table (1) shows the balance of inter-state and inter-ethnic armed conflicts in the region in terms of human and material cost. Though considered by all concerned as the principal one, the Arab-Israeli conflict (some six wars and a continued Palestinian and Lebanese struggle against Israeli occupation) has claimed some 200,000 lives in forty years. In contrast, during the same period, ethnic conflicts have claimed several times as many lives. The Lebanese civil war (1975-1990) alone matched the same number of casualties as all the Arab-Israeli wars. The Sudanese civil war (on and off since 1956) has claimed at least five times as many lives as all Arab-Israeli wars. The same relative costs apply in terms of population displacement, material devastation, and financial expenditure. [2] In the 1990s, we expect that the armed conflicts in the region will be more of the intra-state than of the inter-state variety. Militant Islamic activism is to be added to the on-going sources of armed civil strife in a score of Arab-Middle Eastern countries. Algeria and Egypt are currently two prominent cases in point. Thus, the greatest threat to security of the states in the region are likely to be internal hf.uib.no