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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: chowder who wrote (6691)	8/15/2001 8:35:28 PM
From: Warpfactor	Respond to of 23153

<<Does anyone believe this September will be different? Anyone believe we'll see a rally in September?>> We'll rally in September. IMO of course. Maybe October we'll tank. The ARMS Index over 1.5 represents such a significant state of oversell, that its ability to predict a trend reversal has never failed. In fact, I'm looking to go to 80-90% invested. Maybe 30% tech, and I will try to time and catch some falling knives rather than wait for a signal. I will look for a bottom within the next couple of weeks. In March of this year, once the ARMS Index hit 1.5, the bottom was in within 4 trading days. If I recall, the bottom usually comes sooner than later, but can be as late as 20 trading days away. JMO, Warp

To: chowder who wrote (6691)	8/15/2001 8:42:38 PM
From: hitsoft17	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 23153

dabum, I think a sharp rally is in the cards for the next 6 weeks or so. The TRIN and rate cuts will start to show up most likely and the analysts will start to run races to see who can upgrade what first. I am currently loaded for the short term. If the rally doesn't hurry and the dollar craters I'm toast. I think the dollar will cause this years "October Panic" and could take us down to April levels. That is when one needs to load the boat. hitsoft17