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Strategies & Market Trends : Commodities - The Coming Bull Market -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: craig crawford who wrote (687)	8/16/2001 5:43:29 PM
From: craig crawford	Respond to of 1643

08-16-2001 U.S. Department Of Labor Page 1 Bureau of Labor Statistics Washington, D.C. 20212 Consumer Price Index All Urban Consumers - (CPI-U) U.S. city average All items 1982-84=100 SEMIANNUAL PERCENT CHANGE 1ST 2ND YEAR JAN. FEB. MAR. APR. MAY JUNE JULY AUG. SEP. OCT. NOV. DEC. HALF HALF AVG. DEC-DEC AVG-AVG 1913 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.7 9.8 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.0 10.1 10.0 9.9 1914 10.0 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.9 9.9 10.0 10.2 10.2 10.1 10.2 10.1 10.0 1.0 1.0 1915 10.1 10.0 9.9 10.0 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.1 10.2 10.3 10.3 10.1 2.0 1.0 1916 10.4 10.4 10.5 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.8 10.9 11.1 11.3 11.5 11.6 10.9 12.6 7.9 1917 11.7 12.0 12.0 12.6 12.8 13.0 12.8 13.0 13.3 13.5 13.5 13.7 12.8 18.1 17.4 1918 14.0 14.1 14.0 14.2 14.5 14.7 15.1 15.4 15.7 16.0 16.3 16.5 15.1 20.4 18.0 1919 16.5 16.2 16.4 16.7 16.9 16.9 17.4 17.7 17.8 18.1 18.5 18.9 17.3 14.5 14.6 1920 19.3 19.5 19.7 20.3 20.6 20.9 20.8 20.3 20.0 19.9 19.8 19.4 20.0 2.6 15.6 1921 19.0 18.4 18.3 18.1 17.7 17.6 17.7 17.7 17.5 17.5 17.4 17.3 17.9 -10.8 -10.5 1922 16.9 16.9 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.7 16.8 16.6 16.6 16.7 16.8 16.9 16.8 -2.3 -6.1 1923 16.8 16.8 16.8 16.9 16.9 17.0 17.2 17.1 17.2 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.1 2.4 1.8 1924 17.3 17.2 17.1 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.1 17.0 17.1 17.2 17.2 17.3 17.1 0.0 0.0 1925 17.3 17.2 17.3 17.2 17.3 17.5 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 18.0 17.9 17.5 3.5 2.3 1926 17.9 17.9 17.8 17.9 17.8 17.7 17.5 17.4 17.5 17.6 17.7 17.7 17.7 -1.1 1.1 1927 17.5 17.4 17.3 17.3 17.4 17.6 17.3 17.2 17.3 17.4 17.3 17.3 17.4 -2.3 -1.7 1928 17.3 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.2 17.1 17.1 17.1 17.3 17.2 17.2 17.1 17.1 -1.2 -1.7 1929 17.1 17.1 17.0 16.9 17.0 17.1 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.3 17.2 17.1 0.6 0.0 1930 17.1 17.0 16.9 17.0 16.9 16.8 16.6 16.5 16.6 16.5 16.4 16.1 16.7 -6.4 -2.3 1931 15.9 15.7 15.6 15.5 15.3 15.1 15.1 15.1 15.0 14.9 14.7 14.6 15.2 -9.3 -9.0 1932 14.3 14.1 14.0 13.9 13.7 13.6 13.6 13.5 13.4 13.3 13.2 13.1 13.7 -10.3 -9.9 1933 12.9 12.7 12.6 12.6 12.6 12.7 13.1 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.0 0.8 -5.1 1934 13.2 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.3 13.4 13.4 13.4 13.6 13.5 13.5 13.4 13.4 1.5 3.1 1935 13.6 13.7 13.7 13.8 13.8 13.7 13.7 13.7 13.7 13.7 13.8 13.8 13.7 3.0 2.2 1936 13.8 13.8 13.7 13.7 13.7 13.8 13.9 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 13.9 1.4 1.5 1937 14.1 14.1 14.2 14.3 14.4 14.4 14.5 14.5 14.6 14.6 14.5 14.4 14.4 2.9 3.6 1938 14.2 14.1 14.1 14.2 14.1 14.1 14.1 14.1 14.1 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.1 -2.8 -2.1 1939 14.0 13.9 13.9 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 14.1 14.0 14.0 14.0 13.9 0.0 -1.4 1940 13.9 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.1 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.0 14.1 14.0 0.7 0.7 1941 14.1 14.1 14.2 14.3 14.4 14.7 14.7 14.9 15.1 15.3 15.4 15.5 14.7 9.9 5.0 1942 15.7 15.8 16.0 16.1 16.3 16.3 16.4 16.5 16.5 16.7 16.8 16.9 16.3 9.0 10.9 1943 16.9 16.9 17.2 17.4 17.5 17.5 17.4 17.3 17.4 17.4 17.4 17.4 17.3 3.0 6.1 1944 17.4 17.4 17.4 17.5 17.5 17.6 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.7 17.8 17.6 2.3 1.7 1945 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.8 17.9 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.1 18.2 18.0 2.2 2.3 1946 18.2 18.1 18.3 18.4 18.5 18.7 19.8 20.2 20.4 20.8 21.3 21.5 19.5 18.1 8.3 1947 21.5 21.5 21.9 21.9 21.9 22.0 22.2 22.5 23.0 23.0 23.1 23.4 22.3 8.8 14.4 1948 23.7 23.5 23.4 23.8 23.9 24.1 24.4 24.5 24.5 24.4 24.2 24.1 24.1 3.0 8.1 1949 24.0 23.8 23.8 23.9 23.8 23.9 23.7 23.8 23.9 23.7 23.8 23.6 23.8 -2.1 -1.2 1950 23.5 23.5 23.6 23.6 23.7 23.8 24.1 24.3 24.4 24.6 24.7 25.0 24.1 5.9 1.3 1951 25.4 25.7 25.8 25.8 25.9 25.9 25.9 25.9 26.1 26.2 26.4 26.5 26.0 6.0 7.9 1952 26.5 26.3 26.3 26.4 26.4 26.5 26.7 26.7 26.7 26.7 26.7 26.7 26.5 0.8 1.9 1953 26.6 26.5 26.6 26.6 26.7 26.8 26.8 26.9 26.9 27.0 26.9 26.9 26.7 0.7 0.8 1954 26.9 26.9 26.9 26.8 26.9 26.9 26.9 26.9 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.7 26.9 -0.7 0.7 1955 26.7 26.7 26.7 26.7 26.7 26.7 26.8 26.8 26.9 26.9 26.9 26.8 26.8 0.4 -0.4 1956 26.8 26.8 26.8 26.9 27.0 27.2 27.4 27.3 27.4 27.5 27.5 27.6 27.2 3.0 1.5 1957 27.6 27.7 27.8 27.9 28.0 28.1 28.3 28.3 28.3 28.3 28.4 28.4 28.1 2.9 3.3 1958 28.6 28.6 28.8 28.9 28.9 28.9 29.0 28.9 28.9 28.9 29.0 28.9 28.9 1.8 2.8 1959 29.0 28.9 28.9 29.0 29.0 29.1 29.2 29.2 29.3 29.4 29.4 29.4 29.1 1.7 0.7 1960 29.3 29.4 29.4 29.5 29.5 29.6 29.6 29.6 29.6 29.8 29.8 29.8 29.6 1.4 1.7 1961 29.8 29.8 29.8 29.8 29.8 29.8 30.0 29.9 30.0 30.0 30.0 30.0 29.9 0.7 1.0 1962 30.0 30.1 30.1 30.2 30.2 30.2 30.3 30.3 30.4 30.4 30.4 30.4 30.2 1.3 1.0 1963 30.4 30.4 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.6 30.7 30.7 30.7 30.8 30.8 30.9 30.6 1.6 1.3 1964 30.9 30.9 30.9 30.9 30.9 31.0 31.1 31.0 31.1 31.1 31.2 31.2 31.0 1.0 1.3 1965 31.2 31.2 31.3 31.4 31.4 31.6 31.6 31.6 31.6 31.7 31.7 31.8 31.5 1.9 1.6 1966 31.8 32.0 32.1 32.3 32.3 32.4 32.5 32.7 32.7 32.9 32.9 32.9 32.4 3.5 2.9 1967 32.9 32.9 33.0 33.1 33.2 33.3 33.4 33.5 33.6 33.7 33.8 33.9 33.4 3.0 3.1 1968 34.1 34.2 34.3 34.4 34.5 34.7 34.9 35.0 35.1 35.3 35.4 35.5 34.8 4.7 4.2 1969 35.6 35.8 36.1 36.3 36.4 36.6 36.8 37.0 37.1 37.3 37.5 37.7 36.7 6.2 5.5 1970 37.8 38.0 38.2 38.5 38.6 38.8 39.0 39.0 39.2 39.4 39.6 39.8 38.8 5.6 5.7 1971 39.8 39.9 40.0 40.1 40.3 40.6 40.7 40.8 40.8 40.9 40.9 41.1 40.5 3.3 4.4 1972 41.1 41.3 41.4 41.5 41.6 41.7 41.9 42.0 42.1 42.3 42.4 42.5 41.8 3.4 3.2 1973 42.6 42.9 43.3 43.6 43.9 44.2 44.3 45.1 45.2 45.6 45.9 46.2 44.4 8.7 6.2 1974 46.6 47.2 47.8 48.0 48.6 49.0 49.4 50.0 50.6 51.1 51.5 51.9 49.3 12.3 11.0 1975 52.1 52.5 52.7 52.9 53.2 53.6 54.2 54.3 54.6 54.9 55.3 55.5 53.8 6.9 9.1 1976 55.6 55.8 55.9 56.1 56.5 56.8 57.1 57.4 57.6 57.9 58.0 58.2 56.9 4.9 5.8 1977 58.5 59.1 59.5 60.0 60.3 60.7 61.0 61.2 61.4 61.6 61.9 62.1 60.6 6.7 6.5 1978 62.5 62.9 63.4 63.9 64.5 65.2 65.7 66.0 66.5 67.1 67.4 67.7 65.2 9.0 7.6 1979 68.3 69.1 69.8 70.6 71.5 72.3 73.1 73.8 74.6 75.2 75.9 76.7 72.6 13.3 11.3 1980 77.8 78.9 80.1 81.0 81.8 82.7 82.7 83.3 84.0 84.8 85.5 86.3 82.4 12.5 13.5 1981 87.0 87.9 88.5 89.1 89.8 90.6 91.6 92.3 93.2 93.4 93.7 94.0 90.9 8.9 10.3 1982 94.3 94.6 94.5 94.9 95.8 97.0 97.5 97.7 97.9 98.2 98.0 97.6 96.5 3.8 6.2 1983 97.8 97.9 97.9 98.6 99.2 99.5 99.9 100.2 100.7 101.0 101.2 101.3 99.6 3.8 3.2 1984 101.9 102.4 102.6 103.1 103.4 103.7 104.1 104.5 105.0 105.3 105.3 105.3 102.9 104.9 103.9 3.9 4.3 1985 105.5 106.0 106.4 106.9 107.3 107.6 107.8 108.0 108.3 108.7 109.0 109.3 106.6 108.5 107.6 3.8 3.6 1986 109.6 109.3 108.8 108.6 108.9 109.5 109.5 109.7 110.2 110.3 110.4 110.5 109.1 110.1 109.6 1.1 1.9 1987 111.2 111.6 112.1 112.7 113.1 113.5 113.8 114.4 115.0 115.3 115.4 115.4 112.4 114.9 113.6 4.4 3.6 1988 115.7 116.0 116.5 117.1 117.5 118.0 118.5 119.0 119.8 120.2 120.3 120.5 116.8 119.7 118.3 4.4 4.1 1989 121.1 121.6 122.3 123.1 123.8 124.1 124.4 124.6 125.0 125.6 125.9 126.1 122.7 125.3 124.0 4.6 4.8 1990 127.4 128.0 128.7 128.9 129.2 129.9 130.4 131.6 132.7 133.5 133.8 133.8 128.7 132.6 130.7 6.1 5.4 1991 134.6 134.8 135.0 135.2 135.6 136.0 136.2 136.6 137.2 137.4 137.8 137.9 135.2 137.2 136.2 3.1 4.2 1992 138.1 138.6 139.3 139.5 139.7 140.2 140.5 140.9 141.3 141.8 142.0 141.9 139.2 141.4 140.3 2.9 3.0 1993 142.6 143.1 143.6 144.0 144.2 144.4 144.4 144.8 145.1 145.7 145.8 145.8 143.7 145.3 144.5 2.7 3.0 1994 146.2 146.7 147.2 147.4 147.5 148.0 148.4 149.0 149.4 149.5 149.7 149.7 147.2 149.3 148.2 2.7 2.6 1995 150.3 150.9 151.4 151.9 152.2 152.5 152.5 152.9 153.2 153.7 153.6 153.5 151.5 153.2 152.4 2.5 2.8 1996 154.4 154.9 155.7 156.3 156.6 156.7 157.0 157.3 157.8 158.3 158.6 158.6 155.8 157.9 156.9 3.3 3.0 1997 159.1 159.6 160.0 160.2 160.1 160.3 160.5 160.8 161.2 161.6 161.5 161.3 159.9 161.2 160.5 1.7 2.3 1998 161.6 161.9 162.2 162.5 162.8 163.0 163.2 163.4 163.6 164.0 164.0 163.9 162.3 163.7 163.0 1.6 1.6 1999 164.3 164.5 165.0 166.2 166.2 166.2 166.7 167.1 167.9 168.2 168.3 168.3 165.4 167.8 166.6 2.7 2.2 2000 168.8 169.8 171.2 171.3 171.5 172.4 172.8 172.8 173.7 174.0 174.1 174.0 170.8 173.6 172.2 3.4 3.4 2001 175.1 175.8 176.2 176.9 177.7 178.0 177.5 176.6

To: craig crawford who wrote (687)	8/16/2001 8:04:51 PM
From: Scripts	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 1643

I think we just diagree on the time frame. Things were going well last fall till Greenspan turned on the brakes and ended the tech bubble. Now he is frantically reducing rates trying to avoid a disaster. I think all of my tech money is now in cash or in rock and tree stocks. I think we just disagree on time frame--when did the important things happen and I think I have a shorter horizon than what you are talking about.