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Strategies & Market Trends : The Amateur Traders Corner -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tom Hua who wrote (12809)8/17/2001 11:59:43 PM
From: Roger A. Babb  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19633
 
Tom, I am going out on the limb with a prediction of no cut but language holding open the possibility of more cuts if needed. It may be that the strongest signal from the Fed would be one of "no cut, the economy is showing signs of recovery". I also predict that the market will decline with a 25 cut, would have a short rally on a 50 cut, and a sustained turn back up with no cut.



To: Tom Hua who wrote (12809)8/18/2001 12:08:46 AM
From: Paul Kern  Respond to of 19633
 
Tom,

I'm with you. It's a .25 and, maybe one more. Increases work quickly. Cuts take time. I'm beginning to see improvement in business after it fell off a cliff back in April. The July sales reports showed a decent improvement although I don't think we'll be back to normal until the dead of Winter or early Spring.

Paul



To: Tom Hua who wrote (12809)8/18/2001 8:41:54 AM
From: JustTradeEm  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 19633
 
Ok, contrarian again ... for no good reason.

Fed's been doing the expected all along with the same results ...

My definition of crazy ...

So .... no cut on Tuesday ... the unexepected.

JB



To: Tom Hua who wrote (12809)8/18/2001 5:11:41 PM
From: RockyBalboa  Respond to of 19633
 
Hello Tom, long time no see,

I too expect 25bp but with adopting a neutral bias. The reason: With the recent USD weakness the fed neets to do something to calm worries about the USD exchange rate to prevent capital outflows.