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To: Steve Lee who wrote (44500)	8/17/2001 10:57:09 PM
From: techtonicbull	Respond to of 64865

Well if the public knew that the rate cuts were over, I agree that they would start buying to get the best deal thay could now and not wait until rates climbed back up. So maybe a final rate cut or a rate hike might help.

To: Steve Lee who wrote (44500)	8/17/2001 11:01:32 PM
From: Bill Fischofer	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 64865

Re: Rally trigger The real rally trigger would be the Fed shifting its bias back to neutral which would be taken as an all-clear signal for the economy by many. As long as the Fed seems to be seeing the need for further cuts ahead folks will fret that the economy is still in decline. The shift back to a neutral bias by contrast would be a strong signal that the Fed believes its work is done and the economy has bottomed.

To: Steve Lee who wrote (44500)	8/18/2001 7:05:56 AM
From: JDN	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 64865

Damn Steve, you are one NASTY SOB!! You are talking about peoples LIVES here!! Inflation is nearly nonexistent now and if anything deflation seems to be rearing its ugly head. Thus interest rates should be NO MORE then 4%, probably less. Greenspan screwed up big time in his haste to destroy the stock market single handedly. He went from hero to goat when he raised those rates so fast and so far, now he has GOT to correct quick or go down in history as a damn fool. I doubt his ego will allow that, so expect further decreases in the rates. JDN