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To: Les H who wrote (521)	8/18/2001 9:11:53 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 29592

10-day TRIN for DJIA using NYSE breadth geocities.com Geocities new html editor sucks. I plotted the 10-day advance/decline ratio for issues traded, the 10-day up/down ratio for shares traded, and the 10-day TRIN which is a ratio of the two. Clearly, the A/D ratio is far from oversold. The three indicators compare and contrast with the March/April trough. If we trough in the averages this week or early next week, I suspect that another trough with worsening A/D is likely on the second bottom.

To: Les H who wrote (521)	8/19/2001 4:41:45 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 29592

AIQ market log (buy - sell ratios of signals for stocks >= 7 and ADV >= 75,000) Unconfirmed Signals (US) market DJIA SPX OTC Universe SPX OEX NDX ----------------- ------ ----- ----- -------- -------- -------- -------- Aug 17 10,240 1161 1867 69 - 31 70 - 30 62 - 38 95 - 5 Aug 16 10,392 1181 1930 63 - 37 63 - 37 55 - 45 83 - 17 Aug 15 10,346 1178 1918 67 - 33 63 - 37 60 - 40 70 - 30 Aug 14 10,412 1186 1964 64 - 36 58 - 42 64 - 36 67 - 33 Aug 13 10,415 1191 1982 70 - 30 61 - 39 67 - 33 75 - 25 Aug 10 10,416 1190 1956 75 - 25 66 - 34 67 - 33 80 - 20 Aug 9 10,298 1183 1963 75 - 25 72 - 28 70 - 30 80 - 20 Aug 8 10,293 1183 1966 70 - 30 63 - 37 60 - 40 70 - 30 Aug 7 10,458 1204 2027 56 - 44 43 - 57 30 - 70 25 - 75 Aug 6 10,401 1200 2034 52 - 48 38 - 62 23 - 77 25 - 75 Aug 3 10,512 1214 2066 40 - 60 28 - 72 17 - 83 16 - 84 Aug 2 10,551 1220 2087 35 - 65 30 - 70 25 - 75 12 - 88 Aug 1 10,510 1215 2068 41 - 59 33 - 67 29 - 71 27 - 73 Jul 31 10,522 1211 2027 51 - 49 44 - 56 31 - 69 33 - 67 Jul 30 10,401 1204 2017 56 - 44 53 - 47 40 - 60 50 - 50 Jul 27 10,416 1205 2029 61 - 39 56 - 44 50 - 50 45 - 55 Jul 26 10,455 1202 2022 67 - 33 60 - 40 55 - 45 62 - 38 Jul 25 10,405 1190 1984 76 - 24 68 - 32 64 - 36 87 - 13 Jul 24 10,241 1171 1959 77 - 23 70 - 30 56 - 44 100 - 0 Apr 4 9,515 1103 1638 82 - 18 79 - 21 60 - 40 100 - 0 Apr 3 9,485 1106 1673 83 - 17 84 - 16 100 - 0 100 - 0 Mar 22 9,389 1117 1897 95 - 5 97 - 3 96 - 4 83 - 17 Mar 21 9,487 1122 1830 97 - 3 100 - 0 100 - 0 100 - 0 Reposted earlier report for market signals only. Forgot to include comparable data from the March/April lows. 70-80 percent signals should be considered a weak signal, and may result in a 4-7 pct move from high-low or low-high for the S&P 500. 85 and above should be considered a strong signal, and may result in a 7-10 pct move. When both the confirmed signals and unconfirmed signals exceed 80-85 pct buys, then the corresponding move in the index may approach 15-20 pct. As of now, the general market is bordering on a weak signal.

To: Les H who wrote (521)	8/20/2001 11:23:17 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 29592

Market/Sector Breadth Journal: August 20, 2001 (3289 stocks) Overall Database percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year ----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- -------- Aug 20 48 45 44 50 685 - 802 534 - 613 349 - 440 121 -126 Aug 17 43 41 41 49 422 -1147 308 - 896 208 - 564 64 -128 Aug 16 51 48 46 51 895 - 686 603 - 574 403 - 367 143 -105 Aug 15 47 46 44 50 856 - 790 534 - 674 348 - 425 116 -104 Aug 14 46 48 44 51 870 - 556 479 - 435 319 - 277 117 - 64 Aug 13 40 44 43 50 710 - 611 403 - 461 263 - 323 98 - 78 Aug 10 37 41 41 50 603 - 830 389 - 602 272 - 390 117 - 88 Aug 9 33 39 40 49 438 -1133 282 - 786 188 - 506 73 - 97 Aug 8 31 38 39 49 312 -1567 220 - 916 147 - 581 50 -104 Aug 7 46 48 44 51 488 - 930 378 - 515 251 - 362 81 - 58 Aug 6 48 47 43 51 370 -1037 259 - 567 177 - 386 56 - 45 Aug 3 58 54 47 53 673 - 697 467 - 418 316 - 256 101 - 36 Aug 2 60 56 48 53 976 - 578 726 - 376 498 - 254 108 - 41 Aug 1 60 54 47 53 1136 - 502 772 - 342 507 - 241 126 - 51 Jul 31 55 50 45 52 1033 - 515 632 - 413 419 - 298 125 - 61 Jul 30 50 48 43 52 866 - 592 549 - 457 329 - 335 112 - 52 Jul 27 51 47 43 52 891 - 528 600 - 400 340 - 276 103 - 50 Jul 26 49 47 43 52 925 - 534 623 - 406 354 - 284 112 - 50 Jul 25 37 39 39 50 556 - 859 387 - 612 224 - 454 73 - 73 Jul 24 32 34 37 49 246 - 1586 179 -1016 116 - 756 31 -119 Apr 4 27 22 18 34 253 - 1332 182 - 976 75 - 878 27 -476 Apr 3 27 21 18 33 145 - 1995 102 -1351 51 -1236 23 -598 Mar 22 19 15 16 32 321 - 1678 130 -1560 61 -1315 11 -352 Mar 21 16 16 19 35 229 - 1623 76 -1501 49 -1279 15 -411 Market Index Breadth S & P 500 percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year ----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- -------- Aug 20 1171 46 47 42 51 116 - 98 89 - 73 59 - 53 17 - 16 Aug 17 1161 41 40 39 48 55 - 206 41 - 170 32 - 113 7 - 19 Aug 16 1181 51 48 46 51 136 - 93 95 - 84 56 - 50 14 - 11 Aug 15 1178 44 43 43 50 123 - 161 81 - 139 45 - 81 7 - 10 Aug 14 1186 44 47 45 51 118 - 98 62 - 81 42 - 39 12 - 5 Aug 13 1191 41 45 44 50 111 - 74 59 - 60 41 - 36 11 - 5 Aug 10 1190 33 41 42 49 97 - 101 62 - 75 46 - 40 14 - 4 Aug 9 1183 25 34 36 47 44 - 189 27 - 140 18 - 73 7 - 10 Aug 8 1183 23 34 36 47 29 - 307 20 - 172 14 - 82 4 - 12 Aug 7 1204 45 52 44 51 58 - 131 53 - 55 34 - 30 11 - 5 Aug 6 1200 49 50 43 51 31 - 179 18 - 68 15 - 41 3 - 2 Aug 3 1214 68 62 50 54 105 - 92 73 - 44 51 - 20 22 - 2 Aug 2 1220 71 65 51 54 188 - 67 141 - 41 88 - 26 25 - 3 Aug 1 1215 67 61 48 54 192 - 67 121 - 44 81 - 24 22 - 6 Jul 31 1211 64 57 47 53 217 - 32 125 - 25 90 - 18 27 - 4 Jul 30 1204 55 54 43 52 142 - 54 82 - 42 54 - 29 17 - 2 Jul 27 1205 52 55 43 51 151 - 65 96 - 50 53 - 31 15 - 4 Jul 26 1202 50 52 42 51 140 - 58 96 - 38 63 - 23 21 - 5 Jul 25 1190 38 45 39 51 91 - 77 63 - 54 39 - 43 14 - 6 Jul 24 1171 25 32 33 46 22 - 306 19 - 177 16 - 130 5 - 22 Apr 4 1103 37 26 22 45 42 - 168 32 - 89 11 - 79 3 - 44 Apr 3 1106 31 22 20 43 27 - 321 22 - 171 14 - 159 5 - 60 Mar 22 1117 15 10 13 39 49 - 317 18 - 297 10 - 255 1 - 24 Mar 21 1122 10 13 20 46 22 - 264 7 - 254 5 - 209 1 - 33 Nasdaq 100 percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year ----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- -------- Aug 20 1535 14 16 15 23 6 - 24 4 - 20 1 - 17 0 - 10 Aug 17 1516 11 9 10 20 2 - 79 2 - 75 2 - 52 0 - 11 Aug 16 1581 20 20 19 25 5 - 42 3 - 41 2 - 25 0 - 10 Aug 15 1572 16 12 20 24 0 - 65 0 - 62 0 - 35 0 - 11 Aug 14 1629 22 31 27 25 10 - 25 3 - 22 2 - 8 0 - 2 Aug 13 1653 34 42 35 25 16 - 10 10 - 7 6 - 5 0 - 2 Aug 10 1617 13 25 23 24 8 - 47 2 - 32 0 - 19 0 - 3 Aug 9 1628 17 26 20 24 1 - 32 0 - 20 0 - 14 0 - 2 Aug 8 1626 17 26 23 24 1 - 75 1 - 34 1 - 22 0 - 1 Aug 7 1696 51 50 36 24 9 - 23 7 - 8 2 - 5 0 - 0 Aug 6 1702 62 49 39 25 8 - 27 7 - 16 4 - 10 0 - 1 Aug 3 1725 71 56 41 26 8 - 15 6 - 10 4 - 5 0 - 0 Aug 2 1751 76 59 46 27 54 - 15 43 - 9 23 - 5 2 - 1 Aug 1 1729 72 58 42 26 58 - 5 42 - 5 20 - 3 1 - 1 Jul 31 1683 63 49 29 24 29 - 10 13 - 7 6 - 5 1 - 0 Jul 30 1670 51 39 29 24 15 - 12 7 - 9 1 - 6 0 - 0 Jul 27 1683 57 45 29 24 40 - 13 23 - 11 10 - 7 1 - 4 Jul 26 1673 50 35 29 24 35 - 14 17 - 13 9 - 10 1 - 4 Jul 25 1627 23 23 22 23 16 - 18 8 - 24 2 - 19 1 - 8 Jul 24 1604 15 11 19 22 4 - 53 1 - 27 0 - 24 0 - 6 Apr 4 1370 4 2 1 10 0 - 64 0 - 53 0 - 48 0 - 38 Apr 3 1399 3 3 2 8 0 - 92 0 - 72 0 - 70 0 - 55 Mar 22 1701 51 15 10 14 39 - 14 14 - 14 5 - 12 0 - 6 Mar 21 1605 14 9 6 11 1 - 38 0 - 35 0 - 34 0 - 18 S & P 100 percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year ----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- -------- Aug 20 599 48 44 39 39 24 - 16 20 - 9 16 - 7 1 - 3 Aug 17 593 39 37 38 36 11 - 43 9 - 36 8 - 24 1 - 5 Aug 16 605 51 50 40 39 30 - 13 20 - 11 11 - 8 3 - 1 Aug 15 603 41 39 37 36 23 - 32 14 - 28 7 - 18 2 - 4 Aug 14 607 40 45 38 38 22 - 19 7 - 17 4 - 9 1 - 2 Aug 13 610 37 39 37 37 24 - 19 13 - 18 8 - 9 2 - 1 Aug 10 611 32 39 35 38 18 - 16 12 - 12 7 - 5 2 - 2 Aug 9 607 24 34 32 35 10 - 37 6 - 29 3 - 16 1 - 4 Aug 8 607 20 33 28 34 7 - 62 5 - 37 2 - 17 0 - 5 Aug 7 618 47 52 35 39 13 - 18 12 - 7 7 - 5 3 - 1 Aug 6 615 50 44 32 37 4 - 37 2 - 18 1 - 11 0 - 0 Aug 3 623 66 56 40 40 16 - 22 13 - 13 10 - 3 3 - 0 Aug 2 626 64 58 43 40 35 - 11 26 - 8 14 - 5 3 - 0 Aug 1 623 61 57 44 41 34 - 19 25 - 12 14 - 8 1 - 1 Jul 31 622 67 56 43 39 43 - 3 24 - 3 17 - 2 2 - 0 Jul 30 618 56 51 37 37 32 - 11 14 - 10 12 - 7 2 - 0 Jul 27 620 47 53 36 39 25 - 16 15 - 13 7 - 9 0 - 0 Jul 26 619 41 48 36 42 23 - 14 15 - 9 11 - 7 1 - 2 Jul 25 613 33 47 30 40 13 - 16 10 - 11 5 - 8 0 - 0 Jul 24 604 23 30 22 37 5 - 63 4 - 40 4 - 29 2 - 8 Apr 4 560 35 21 16 30 6 - 27 5 - 13 4 - 12 1 - 7 Apr 3 562 24 17 15 30 4 - 70 4 - 35 3 - 33 2 - 14 Mar 22 567 13 7 7 27 9 - 70 2 - 69 2 - 59 0 - 11 Mar 21 569 8 7 14 34 7 - 54 2 - 54 2 - 43 0 - 11 Semiconductors (148 stocks) percent stocks over MA highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows highs/lows market 10 d 21 d 50 d 200d 5-days 10-days 20-days 1-year ----------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---------- ---------- ---------- -------- Aug 20 561 18 22 31 30 7 - 44 5 - 40 5 - 27 0 - 10 Aug 17 555 11 20 30 25 7 - 107 3 - 94 3 - 42 0 - 12 Aug 16 583 22 37 41 29 13 - 42 3 - 38 3 - 17 0 - 5 Aug 15 572 14 34 40 29 15 - 65 5 - 60 4 - 21 0 - 5 Aug 14 594 23 51 42 30 14 - 30 2 - 21 2 - 11 0 - 3 Aug 13 603 30 57 47 30 18 - 24 7 - 13 6 - 10 0 - 4 Aug 10 593 18 45 40 30 6 - 45 3 - 32 1 - 15 0 - 7 Aug 9 585 21 43 41 32 5 - 61 5 - 30 3 - 9 0 - 4 Aug 8 584 26 47 43 30 5 - 101 4 - 23 3 - 14 0 - 6 Aug 7 614 55 69 52 36 13 - 45 13 - 9 8 - 7 1 - 3 Aug 6 631 78 72 56 36 7 - 24 6 - 8 5 - 8 0 - 3 Aug 3 641 89 82 60 39 33 - 6 26 - 5 16 - 4 0 - 1 Aug 2 656 91 84 61 39 96 - 4 82 - 4 59 - 4 1 - 3 Aug 1 636 87 76 55 37 119 - 5 102 - 4 62 - 4 0 - 2 Jul 31 605 69 55 38 32 63 - 5 42 - 4 25 - 3 0 - 1 Jul 30 605 70 55 39 32 61 - 8 44 - 8 24 - 6 0 - 2 Jul 27 601 65 53 36 28 67 - 8 46 - 7 21 - 6 0 - 1 Jul 26 588 57 45 30 26 46 - 15 25 - 14 12 - 9 0 - 1 Jul 25 553 22 26 18 20 16 - 52 7 - 39 1 - 31 0 - 5 Jul 24 548 20 18 18 24 9 - 83 5 - 51 2 - 41 0 - 8 Apr 4 463 1 5 1 1 0 - 104 0 - 93 0 - 88 0 - 51 Apr 3 490 3 6 1 1 1 - 117 1 - 99 0 - 94 0 - 50 Mar 22 626 60 38 13 7 70 - 16 34 - 14 15 - 13 0 - 3 Mar 21 558 20 13 7 3 13 - 43 2 - 39 1 - 32 0 - 8 AIQ market log (buy - sell ratios of signals for stocks >= 7 and ADV >= 75,000) Unconfirmed Signals (US) market DJIA SPX OTC Universe SPX OEX NDX ----------------- ------ ----- ----- -------- -------- -------- -------- Aug 20 10,320 1171 1881 67 - 33 69 - 31 50 - 50 95 - 5 Aug 17 10,240 1161 1867 69 - 31 70 - 30 62 - 38 95 - 5 Aug 16 10,392 1181 1930 63 - 37 63 - 37 55 - 45 83 - 17 Aug 15 10,346 1178 1918 67 - 33 63 - 37 60 - 40 70 - 30 Aug 14 10,412 1186 1964 64 - 36 58 - 42 64 - 36 67 - 33 Aug 13 10,415 1191 1982 70 - 30 61 - 39 67 - 33 75 - 25 Aug 10 10,416 1190 1956 75 - 25 66 - 34 67 - 33 80 - 20 Aug 9 10,298 1183 1963 75 - 25 72 - 28 70 - 30 80 - 20 Aug 8 10,293 1183 1966 70 - 30 63 - 37 60 - 40 70 - 30 Aug 7 10,458 1204 2027 56 - 44 43 - 57 30 - 70 25 - 75 Aug 6 10,401 1200 2034 52 - 48 38 - 62 23 - 77 25 - 75 Aug 3 10,512 1214 2066 40 - 60 28 - 72 17 - 83 16 - 84 Aug 2 10,551 1220 2087 35 - 65 30 - 70 25 - 75 12 - 88 Aug 1 10,510 1215 2068 41 - 59 33 - 67 29 - 71 27 - 73 Jul 31 10,522 1211 2027 51 - 49 44 - 56 31 - 69 33 - 67 Jul 30 10,401 1204 2017 56 - 44 53 - 47 40 - 60 50 - 50 Jul 27 10,416 1205 2029 61 - 39 56 - 44 50 - 50 45 - 55 Jul 26 10,455 1202 2022 67 - 33 60 - 40 55 - 45 62 - 38 Jul 25 10,405 1190 1984 76 - 24 68 - 32 64 - 36 87 - 13 Jul 24 10,241 1171 1959 77 - 23 70 - 30 56 - 44 100 - 0 Apr 4 9,515 1103 1638 82 - 18 79 - 21 60 - 40 100 - 0 Apr 3 9,485 1106 1673 83 - 17 84 - 16 100 - 0 100 - 0 Mar 22 9,389 1117 1897 95 - 5 97 - 3 96 - 4 83 - 17 Mar 21 9,487 1122 1830 97 - 3 100 - 0 100 - 0 100 - 0 August 20 Weighted Unconfirmed Action List Daily Signals Universe 43 - 57 67 - 33 S&P 500 (SPX) 44 - 56 69 - 31 S&P 100 (OEX) 45 - 55 50 - 50 Nasdaq 100 (NDX) 36 - 64 95 - 5 Nine Month Cycle - April 4 anchor Apr 4 start start start 1103 none Apr 27 green green green 1253 +150 1253 +150 1103 + 10 May 21 yellow green green 1312 + 59 1312 + 59 1240 - 13 Jun 13 red yellow green 1241 - 71 1315 + 3 1235 - 77 Jul 6 green yellow green 1190 - 51 1241 + 0 1188 - 53 Jul 30 yellow red yellow 1204 + 14 1225 + 35 1165 - 25 Aug 22 red red yellow 1171 - 33 1226 + 22 1156 - 48 Sep 14 green green yellow Oct 8 yellow green yellow Oct 31 red yellow red Nov 23 green yellow red Dec 17 yellow red red Jan 9 red red red Nine Month Cycle - March 22 anchor Mar 22 start start start 1117 none Apr 12 green green green 1183 + 66 1183 + 66 1091 - 26 May 8 yellow green green 1261 + 78 1272 + 89 1167 - 16 May 31 red yellow green 1255 - 6 1315 + 54 1240 - 21 Jun 22 green yellow green 1225 - 30 1286 + 31 1203 - 42 Jul 17 yellow red yellow 1214 - 11 1239 + 14 1168 - 57 Aug 9 red red yellow 1183 - 31 1226 + 12 1165 - 49 Sep 4 green green yellow 1171 - 12 1193 + 10 1156 - 27 Sep 25 yellow green yellow Oct 18 red yellow red Nov 9 green yellow red Dec 4 yellow red red Dec 27 red red red