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To: Doppler who wrote (10435)8/20/2001 9:06:21 AM
From: Paul Shread  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
I've seen measures of the current PE on the S&P ranging anywhere from 26-33 (that latter figure essentially the same as the March 2000 top).

It's probably more useful to look at average PE compression during major bears, and I'd guess that figure has been about 50%, just looking at 1/73-10/74.



To: Doppler who wrote (10435)8/20/2001 9:19:33 AM
From: JRI  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 209892
 
Didn't you get the memo? History only counts in the stock market when its bullish (like "stocks always go up over term, etc).

1929-1946, 1966-1982? Statistical outliers...disregard.


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