SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (45648)8/20/2001 5:07:25 PM
From: techreports  Respond to of 54805
 
The stock market continues to slide. While economists are pretty much in agreement that the stock market didn't cause the Great Depression, the crash of October, 1929, did play a role in eliminating wealth and forcing consumers to stop spending. ``It contributed to the seriousness of the Depression,'' says Wicker, who calls the stock market's current slide ``a little mini-crisis'' by comparison.

The NASDAQ continues to slide. the DOW and old economy which is 2/3rds of the economy is flat. Housing prices have gone up, therefore, people feel bullish and will continue to spend. Unemployment at 4.5% is very good. Sure, the slide in the NASDAQ could cause the rest of the economy to fall, but it hasn't yet.

Cash is being conserved. In the Great Depression, it was ordinary folks who hoarded any cash they had. Now it's business managers who are reluctant to spend. They're cutting expenditures on advertising, high-tech equipment, and, most important for the overall economy -- payrolls. ``They are guarding cash,'' says Smith. ``They don't want to run out of it.''

They are not spending because they over-spent. No one likes to drink the next day if they are having a bad hangover.

We may not be in an official recession now thanks to the continued strength of consumer spending, but ``this slowdown has been triggered by substantial, recession-level declines in business capital spending,'' says Deak, noting that, so far, business investment spending hasn't been bolstered by cuts in interest rates. When it comes to holding up the economy, for now, ``consumers are carrying the burden here,'' he says.

It takes 9 to 12 months for them to help the economy. The last rate hike took till summer before it hit the economy and the 1st rate cut wont come till jan of 02.