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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Roebear who wrote (415)8/23/2001 7:29:56 AM
From: Frank Pembleton  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161
 
FA read on RGLD

Roebear, just got into it a little last night. The 10K isn't an easy read, but I do have an answer for the sudden rash of insider buying. Royal Gold is a royalty, this company comprises 11 employees and they derived $9.4 million of revenue in fiscal 2000 from GSR. The "gross smelter returns" works on a sliding scale, relative to the price of gold:

$210 -- 0.04%
$210-$229.99 -- 0.50%
$230-$249.99 -- 0.75%
$250-$269.99 -- 1.30%
$270-$309.99 -- 2.25%

$310-$329.99 -- 2.60%

As you can see royalties this year will jump 57%, from $9.4 to $15 million, but as the scale progresses the % increase isn't as steep.

At the moment, I'm thinking this is a whole new financial scheme for mining companies to "hedge" their production without using that dreaded word. Does hedge = royalty? I'd keep an eye out for that word when reading a 10K from a miner, JMHO!

I'll keep working on it, but I need to make a comparison to another royalty (possibly F-N) to really get a grip on this business.

I will keep the group posted.

Regards
Frank P.



To: Roebear who wrote (415)8/23/2001 9:03:48 PM
From: Frank Pembleton  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 36161
 
Roebear, me again -- RGLD, my last thoughts, the biggest risk I see now after this big run-up is share dilution. In the 10K they intend on wrapping up exploration activities and concentrate purely on acquisitions. They're definitely competing with Franco-Nevada, it’s my concern they’ll need more cash. IMHO they could pull it off with investing in higher risk properties – probably collecting higher royalties.

Let's keep in mind that Franco-Nevada as a billion dollar cash horde, they’ll be negotiating from a position of power. But then again if gold goes like we think it will, there might be room for two in this industry.

Regards
Frank P.