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Strategies & Market Trends : Ask DrBob -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: stan_hughes who wrote (42955)	8/26/2001 7:36:48 PM
From: kleht	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 100058

Stan: Thanks, excellent site. No, I'm not a great number cruncher, although I will fiddle a little. I did compare up vs. down months for August, September and October (I didn't want to tackle all 12) just to see how these numbers stack up. Wish I had the time to compare the actual return by month. But here's what I found going back to 1950. The S&P 500 rose and fell in the three months as follows: AUGUST Up - 26 years Down - 25 years SEPTEMBER Up - 24 years Unchanged - 1 year Down - 26 years OCTOBER Up - 28 years Down - 23 years I think this does sort of show that while September and October are considered the worst months of the year on average, August sure isn't far behind. And I did see at least a couple of whopping plunges occurring in August. I think the above hints at October being over-rated as a down month simply because it has caught a lot of the (deserved) headlines over the years. And September may be the worst month of all, but there is a silver lining. But, again, proceed with caution. I saw some really good gains occurring in all three months. Ken