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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: IngotWeTrust who wrote (75580)	8/27/2001 1:52:02 PM
From: long-gone	Respond to of 116764

www4.ncdc.noaa.gov

To: IngotWeTrust who wrote (75580)	8/27/2001 2:12:26 PM
From: long-gone	Respond to of 116764

here's some(more recent) price history toward your weather related overlay efforts: ftp://ftp.bls.gov/pub/special.requests/cpi/cpiai.txt stats.bls.gov UK moneyextra.com I some time ago attempted an overlay of population loss from mass disease or & due war Vs history of recessions / depressions. Found some exact or nearby correlation. Yes, based on history there are some cases of reduction in demand based recessions, not all come about from increased productivity.

To: IngotWeTrust who wrote (75580)	8/27/2001 2:18:50 PM
From: long-gone	Respond to of 116764

You'll also this very useful (perhaps more so) If you look mostly at the just historical charts - beware of spin: friesian.com friesian.com

To: IngotWeTrust who wrote (75580)	8/27/2001 2:26:31 PM
From: long-gone	Respond to of 116764

This is also telling: cnie.org

To: IngotWeTrust who wrote (75580)	8/27/2001 2:36:20 PM
From: Archie Meeties	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 116764

Good to see some sign of life on the GPM, even if it has little to do with gold. Volcanic eruptions, as you note, can affect agriculture - but only eruptions that produce large amounts of ash. Mt. Rainer has a history of lava eruptions, although ash eruptions occured between 1840-1880. There has been a quantitative study of the avg. rise in grain prices after major ash producing eruptions made by a famous speculator. It is significant - something like 8% over 6 mo. but, with one exception, not what I'd call inflationary. The more intriguing possibility for me is the possibility of a colder than normal winter in NA, and an increase in energy demand because of it.