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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bobby beara who wrote (17035)8/28/2001 10:01:45 PM
From: Jack T. Pearson  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
I remember 1969-1982--cloudy as hell. And the dust storms in the thirties probably explains the depression!



To: bobby beara who wrote (17035)8/29/2001 12:02:59 AM
From: Berney  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
bb, propeller beanie dude, I would suggest that the place is just east of the Cascades.

Reportedly, those clouds have as just as much trouble getting over those little hills, as the bear has trying to break a down trend line. Sadly, I would suspect that the returns there would be no better than here in the Swamp.

I tend to ignore the TeeVee, but got to say that I caught a very delightful interview with Bollinger last week. IMHO, the dude is an oasis in the desert. His point was that if you look at history you get flat from 1932 to 1948, up big from 1948 to 1966, flat from 1966 to 1982, up big from 1982 to 1998, and, alas, now flat again. Roughly, 16 year cycles are created. It just makes sense to me from my own studies. Market outstrips earnings and goes flat until earnings catch up. There might just be a generational thing at work as well. WMT is one of my favorite examples. It was one of only 20% of the S&P that doubled revenue and generated sequential EPS annual growth from 1992 to 1997; yet, it's share price went nowhere. Reality had to catch up with expectations!

As for the e-wave counts, I couldn't add a penny to the pot. However, I do believe before this is over that gap at 1370 on NDX is very suspect. On a linear scale, if you connect the SnP dots from the Oct, '97, the '98, and the more recently lows, they project us (this week) witnessing the very binary number of 1111 or so. Important to note that, while everyone would be looking for a new low, it would not happen.

Just a View from the Swamp

Berney