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To: marginmike who wrote (103380)8/29/2001 10:07:41 PM
From: Robin Plunder  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
 
I sent a note to the folks at www.decisionpoint.com, asking if they had charts of the 'commitments of traders'. They answered that they don't have them yet, but hope to have them by the end of the year, at least some selected items.

I checked the table on the link you gave and it looks like a substantial net short position by the commercial traders...I guess this still looks negative.

At the moment, though, some important indicators seem to be in conflict, whereas last year, probably most were in the same direction (negative).

It will be interesting to see how the market acts over the next week. According to the arms indicator, (which, based on history, has never failed to signal an imminent rally when it goes over 1.5), we should start to rally by the end of next week. At the moment, it is hard to see how that could happen.

Robin