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Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: limtex who wrote (40737)8/29/2001 7:48:09 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 65232
 
SUNW is an excellent indicator of NewEcon and OldEcon computerdom
it is not healthy
you done good expressing your expectations of down markets
I remember well
but... "as far as the eye can see" ???
we dont have the luxury of seeing very far
I rely on history, which says capacity-based recessions take twice as long to unwind
if you gots 4 mfg plants, and one is idle, lower rates aint gonna induce you to build another
what in the world are most people thinking in this respect ???
lower rates worked for every recession since WW2
THIS RECESSION IS UNLIKE ANY SINCE WW2

as for DSPG, a fine little company
but I dont think it is a tinycap, probably a microcap
they have ownership of the Integrated Telephony on a chip
it is the basis for building any voice-based system in a device
many many OEM's
I have noticed it has held up remarkablly well in the face of wireless cratering

I believe the action is gonna be with biotech
and in a year, back comes wireless
but wireless will become a totally bifurcated sector
part will be backbone providers, platform deliverers, small margins, heavy capacity
part will be unique value added services and feature providers, commerce enablers
former will make next to no money
latter will make all kinds of money
DSPG is in latter group, as is QCOM

whattya say we put an end to silly Bush talk
I cannot think of anyone more irrelevant to the economy these days
the tax cut is hollow and will have a miniscule impact on anything at all
the budget deficit is gone, a casualty of the recession
I am ambivalent toward Bush, but seek fairness
I recall Reagan was blamed for the 1981-82 recession
it was Carter's legacy leaking over

I recall Carter being blamed for runaway inflation
it was Nixon's legacy leaking over for years afterward
/ Jim