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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Shread who wrote (17360)8/31/2001 10:15:32 AM
From: isopatch  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Far out, Paul. Double the 36 yr cycle to 72

and the Bear Market price patterns show much more similarity that they do ever 36 yrs.

1965 or 1929 then. One constant is both Bear cycles were long grinding, grueling affairs that wore down investors for years before the 2 capitulation selloff. 1970 and 1974 from 1965. And 1932 and with the 2nd capitulation low in early 1938.

Bottom line is that time may be more important than price in this Bear Market, precisely because only a tiny %age of active investors today have been though a period where their accounts continued to show large paper losses for several years!

From a contrarian standpoint it would be just another example of the Market pursuing the course where the majority is most unprepared and therefore vulnerable.

IMO, perhaps 25% of all equity mutual funds will disappear in the next few years.

Isopatch