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Strategies & Market Trends : The Covered Calls for Dummies Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Road Walker who wrote (2316)8/31/2001 9:13:54 PM
From: 100cfm  Respond to of 5205
 
John

I understand better what you're trying to point out.
But to us dummies we look at it one way. When the stock goes down so does the price we can sell a certain call for or buy that call back if we were lucky enough to sell it when the stock was at a higher price.

But yes the premiums don't move in lock step with the stock price and mostly to our disadvantage. Meaning when you've sold calls the premium doesn't vanish fast enough as the stock price declines and when your long calls the premium doesn't rise fast enough as the stock price climbs. At least that's they way it seems when it's your money is on the line.

100



To: Road Walker who wrote (2316)8/31/2001 11:29:54 PM
From: BDR  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5205
 
<<As the market, or a stock, goes down, generally speaking the option premium goes up as a percentage of the strike price to the stock price.>>

Yes, option decay with time or with decline in stock price is not linear. A good thing if you are selling calls and generally bad if you are a buyer. We are describing delta, the rate of change in the option for a given change in the stock, which is always less than one. Why is that a disadvantage? And could it be any other way? Short calls are acknowledged to be a less than a perfect hedge against a declining long stock position. If someone wants a hedge with a delta of 1.0, short the stock.

<<An example is that the VIX almost always increases as the market declines.>>

Yes, but the VIX is a ratio, not a vector. And a graph of VIX is not just the inverse of the market. If it was it would have no predictive value. Maybe it doesn't anyway, we just like to think so.(g)

Compare VIX:
stockcharts.com[w,a]dallyymy[d19970101,20010831][p][vc60]

with NASDAQ
stockcharts.com[w,a]dallyymy[d19970101,20010831][p][vc60]

VIX can be high for any value of the market.

Approx. Approx.
VIX peaks NASDAQ

end of Oct '97 1525

early Jan '98 1500

Sept 1 '98 1500 (VIX at highest peak in 4 years)

early Oct '98 1450

early March '00 3800

Oct '00 3100

end of Dec '00 2275

end of March '01 1600

VIX = or > 35 at all those times.