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To: pcstel who wrote (103515)	9/1/2001 1:14:33 AM
From: Maurice Winn	Respond to of 152472

PCSTEL, you are correct. <In the end.. It will be.. Well, this WCDMA stuff is going to be really expensive, and large, and consume waaaay too much power.. And we don't really know if there is even a defined market for High Speed Mobile Data.. but, we know there is one for VOICE.. So maybe you should just launch GSM/GPRS on your Greenfield Spectrum.. After all, you already have the cell sites. And you already have the MAP core network at the site.. So all you need is to stick up another antenna, and add some cheap Base Station Equipment... Oh!! Look.. We have some of this stuff in the lab already. >I have reviewed some spectrum here and I would install a GSM network right now for marketing reasons. The GSM Guild did a brilliant job with the VW40 smoke screen. They succeeded in getting everyone to wait for almost a decade. Now what? As you say, the spectrum is sitting there. They need capacity. They need money. They have customers. They have economies of scale. With 3 or 4 years still to go for VW40 to be real, it might be a better idea to install more GSM. Alternatively, they could go to cdma2000 in that new spectrum. Hmmm. L M Ericsson is set up for cdma2000 and Nokia isn't. Maybe L M Ericsson is getting their ducks in a row to abandon W-CDMA and go like mad with cdma2000. One thing's for sure, the pressure is enormous and something BIG has to give. I think VW40 will go 'poof' because spectrum still matters and they really do know that data does too [despite guesswork on the size and timing of the market]. I guess a collapse of VW40. No GSM. Switch to cdma2000. But it is NOT a no-brainer. Mqurice