SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Warpfactor who wrote (7281)8/31/2001 10:49:50 PM
From: kodiak_bull  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 23153
 
Warp,

You wrote, "the ARMS Index will trigger a buy signal if it hits 1.30 or above. A reading of 1.5 is next to unheard of. You would find only a handful of instances over 40 years."

When I look at this chart I see the TRIN above 2.03 about twelve times in the last 9 months. Am I looking at it the wrong way?

siliconinvestor.com

Here's another chart, same numbers, I think:

stockcharts.com[h,a]dhllyymy[pb50!b200!d20,2!f][vc60][iut!Ub14!Ua12,26,9!Lc20!Lk14!Lh14,3!Ll14]

TIA,

Kb



To: Warpfactor who wrote (7281)9/1/2001 12:59:00 PM
From: Think4Yourself  Respond to of 23153
 
Was searching for more info on the ARMS index and came across this interesting site. Apologies if this has already been posted. You guys are light years ahead of me on TA.

agoraoutlook.com

The guy makes some really interesting observations on human psychology and history. He also plugs all the relevant economic data into his analysis.

"They are already talking about how bad the September and October months are for trading when in fact they have only been really bad twice in 1929 and 1987. In 1990 September was off about 6.0% but that was because the market was just starting a correction. The main thing is that the market and economy is closer to stabilization than to a coming crash and so September has higher odds of being a positive month. "