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Politics : PRESIDENT GEORGE W. BUSH -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: American Spirit who wrote (176888)9/2/2001 7:36:51 PM
From: American Spirit  Respond to of 769670
 
Cheney's job. Giveaways to Big Energy and Those Who lay Waste to our environment. All at public expense.http://navigation.helper.realnames.com/framer/1/262/default.asp?realname=My+Yahoo&url=http%3A%2F%2Fmy%2Eyahoo%2Ecom%2F&frameid=1&providerid=262&uid=30210487



To: American Spirit who wrote (176888)9/2/2001 8:46:21 PM
From: gao seng  Respond to of 769670
 
Yes he is an expert in keeping OPEC from manipulating the price of oil. When Cheney was still working for Halliburton, he cut a deal to lease or sell the equipment to re-stimulate the oil fields that were a problem in Siberia. He even helped negotiate financing. Here is the payoff:

Sunday, 26 August 2001 7:00 (ET)

Walker's World: Oil, Russia and OPEC
By MARTIN WALKER, UPI Chief Political Correspondent

PERIGORD, France, Aug. 26 (UPI) -- This week's decision by the Russian
government to sabotage OPEC by increasing its oil production launches us all
onto a fascinating economic experiment that might just help the world
economy turn the corner from stagnation back to growth.

The White House economic adviser Lawrence Lindsey is not the only expert
who reckons that the American slowdown was caused as much by last year's
jump in the oil price as by the collapse of the dor.com bubble. Analysts at
the Buba, Germany's central bank, reckon that energy costs explain a lot of
the difficulties in Europe's biggest economy, which is highly dependent on
imported oil and gas. The inflationary threat implicit in higher oil prices
has been repeatedly cited by the European Central Bank to justify its
reluctance to cut interest rates, despite anguished appeals from German
industry.

A year ago, oil was trading at $37 a barrel. Two months ago, it was still
trading at $30 a barrel. Last week, it was down to $26. During the boom
years of the 1990s, it was usually below $20 a barrel.

The OPEC countries have been trying to nudge the price up, cutting
production quotas three times so far this year, and reducing their daily
output by about 13 percent.

Now Russia has come to the rescue, increasing their daily output by about
500,000 barrels a day, with more to come. Analysts at Germany's Deutsche
Bank now reckon that oil exports from Russia and Kazakhstan will increase by
as much as 45 percent by 2005, helping to keep world prices down.

Lower energy prices cut industrial costs and should help corporate
profits, just as this week's announcement of 'stabilization' from Cisco,
that giant of the high-tech sector, suggests that the American slowdown has
bottomed out.

Thanks, Russia. But before getting carried away with optimism, it is worth
looking at the dynamics of the Russian government decision. And make no
mistake, despite the freeing of much of the Russian economy from state
control, the energy sector remains under the Kremlin thumb. It was not
independent Russian oil executives who decided to open the spigots and let
the oil flow. It was the government.

The key announcement came last week from Igor Yusufov, the new Minister
for Fuel and Energy, who told a Moscow press conference that Russia would
"take its own export decisions in the national interest, without regard to
OPEC "

Since energy accounts for more than half of Russia's export earnings, the
oil and gas industry is of high strategic interest to the Kremlin. For the
past five years, Russia has been pumping around 6 million barrels a day, a
figure which should increase to 7 million barrels by the end of this year.
All of the increase is going to exports.

And despite the conventional wisdom that Kremlin and political
interference is the Russian energy industry's biggest problem, a number of
smart decisions have been taken over the past five years. Two of the most
useful were the decisions to break the bottleneck on Russia's oil export
capacity by authorizing new pipelines.

Just five weeks from now, the most important new pipeline will start
sending oil from Kazakhstan's Tinghiz oilfield to the Russian Black Sea port
of Novorossisk. Both Exxon Mobil and Chevron are involved in the Caspian
Pipeline Consortium which financed and operates the pipeline. And by the end
of this year, another pipeline from the oilfields of northern Siberia to the
Baltic port of Primorsk will help reach the 2005 target of increasing
Russian oil exports by 30 percent.

This means serious money for the Russian economy, and for the Russian
government's revenues. At $25 a barrel, an extra million barrels a day is an
extra $9 billion a year.

Russia has thus avoided the temptation of cooperating with OPEC to screw
higher prices out of the West's industries and consumers, and shown its
perception of its real strategic interest -- which is with the West.

Where does this leave OPEC, some of whose more fiery members seemed to
think that they could recreate the glory days of the 1970s, when the oil
weapon was first deployed in the wake of the 1973 Yom Kippur war, and get
rich while also pressuring the West to back away from Israel? And where does
this leave Iraq, where Saddam Hussein was hoping to use his oil to break
free finally from the sanctions that have kept him on short rations since
the Gulf War?

It leaves the OPEC nations thinking again about the risks of trying to
operate a cartel while lacking a monopoly of the oil supply. And if a lower
oil price helps fuel a return to growth in Europe and North America next
year, while locking a more prosperous Russia even more firmly into the
Western economic system, Russia's President Vladimir Putin should be a very
welcome guest at next summer's G8 summit in Canada.
--
Copyright 2001 by United Press International.
All rights reserved.
--

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