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Strategies & Market Trends : Stock Attack II - A Complete Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: donald sew who wrote (17697)9/4/2001 9:43:56 PM
From: Challo Jeregy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Semiconductor Billings

Updated: 9/4/01 4:43 PM EST
Released:
9/4/2001
Coverage:
July 2001
Actual:
-6.1%
Next Release:
10/3/2001
Analysis by:
Wes Basel

First Take
Global chip sales fell 6.1% in July from the previous month, continuing a nine-month
downturn, albeit at the slowest rate since April. All four of the SIA’s regional groups
experienced declining sales, with the Americas market recording the largest fall, at
9.9%,
and the Asian market the smallest, at 3.4%.

The Numbers
Semiconductor sales fell in June by 6.1% -- the ninth consecutive falloff. The pace
of the downturn did moderate in all regions.
For the fifth month in the current cycle, sales were down on a year-over-year
basis, by 37.9%. The level of sales in July was the lowest since September 1998.
The Americas market had the most severe decline in July, but the other three
regions also registered sharp fall-offs.

Behind the Numbers

Both global and U.S. finished equipment inventories are coming more in balance with
demand, primarily due to a sharp reduction in production. Some improvement in chip
inventories was reported by the SIA, whose current prognosis sees the bottom
occurring
in September.

The nine-month downturn is driven by both a slowdown in U.S. IT demand growth and

weaker prices for more common chip types. Weak IT demand has spread to Europe
and
Asia, while Japan is in or near recession. Over the past three months markets in the
Americas and Asia, excluding Japan, have been the weakest. The steep slide in the
Asian
region was related to its reliance on memory chip manufacturing, which has
experienced
the largest deterioration in price trends. The slowdown in U.S. computer demand
growth
heavily impacts chip demand in Asia as well, since many PCs slated for the U.S. market
are assembled in Asia.

The preliminary release of shipments, inventories and orders for U.S. manufacturers
last
week showed continued weakness for computer equipment orders, but a rebound in
communications equipment. The decline in computer equipment can be explained by
price cuts, initiated in tandem with reduced components costs. There is little hope of a
sustained recovery in communications equipment, given the excess capacity present in
telecom services, and saturation in the cellular industry.

Semiconductor orders received by U.S. manufacturers fell sharply in July, and the
previously reported increase in June was revised to a small decline. This dampens the
hopeful tone of today’s SIA press release.

dismal.com



To: donald sew who wrote (17697)9/5/2001 6:29:37 AM
From: Jerry Olson  Respond to of 52237
 
Morning Don

actually yesterday seemed a bit "Too Orchestrated to me"...i still think we'll "Have to Rally" before moving lower...short term...

today ahead of INTC tomar...should be cool...



To: donald sew who wrote (17697)9/5/2001 7:08:17 AM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 52237
 
Analysis of end of Day Closing prices and recommendations in
the US Stock Market, or the Den of Thieves & Swindlers

This is the most effective list, but validate signals. Results
are relative to the SPX and move relative to the SPX - Haim
see more data & info including stock charts from this scan at:
home.nyc.rr.com
and also see Today Charts who are updated every several days

Today is 09/04/101 Remember this is a computer scan only

S&P Closed 1132.95
S&P Change -0.650
P/C Ratio VXN
Recommendation Price Stoch. RSI RSI RS
Change ROC%

BUY SIGNAL ON DELL 22.310 22.753 38 7 34
BUY SIGNAL ON FNM 76.710 9.970 28 3 7
BUY SIGNAL ON GPS 19.680 9.371 23 0 2
BUY SIGNAL ON GT 24.940 17.652 39 4 45
BUY SIGNAL ON S 43.320 15.766 42 5 10
BUY SIGNAL ON WMT 48.450 13.303 35 2 0
BUY SIGNAL ON DIS 25.710 27.613 43 2 41
BUY SIGNAL ON GLM 15.100 13.498 41 8 0
BUY SIGNAL ON BK 39.400 6.412 20 0 18
BUY SIGNAL ON APC 53.310 11.020 44 7 36
BUY SIGNAL ON HHH 32.050 11.986 29 -1 16
BUY SIGNAL ON PWER 10.360 14.601 35 -2 6
BUY SIGNAL ON JCP 24.430 8.198 39 4 0