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To: Amy J who wrote (142761)	9/5/2001 11:52:02 AM
From: Robert Douglas	Respond to of 186894

Do you seriously think this is the big one? I mean, our financial markets are structured so incredibly differently now... There is nothing happening in the world that a little Keynes won't solve. The only risk is that most of the world seems to have forgotten their Keynes.

To: Amy J who wrote (142761)	9/5/2001 8:48:15 PM
From: nihil	Respond to of 186894

As to the Big One who can say. I am looking at the planned layoffs both in US and the drying up of capital investment. The market makes almost everyone gloomy. I think HP and Compaq compete in too many markets for the merger to be approved without one or the other selling off their Server businesses. Consumer confidence is low, and most consumers are overextended anyway. Business confidence is really shook. With the market collapse this is a classic situation for an extended downturn and maybe even a big crash. Our current account deficit and value of the dollar make our exporting our way out of a slump impossible. AG will never allow us to inflate. I think that most people will save most of the pitiful tax cut (paying off debt is saving). ICBW