SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : VOLTAIRE'S PORCH-MODERATED -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: stockman_scott who wrote (40950)9/5/2001 10:34:17 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 65232
 
longstanding arguments for real estate might be flimsy
"everyone has to live somewhere"
yes, but renting is viable, not for everybody though
"not making any new acrage out there"
sure, but office buildings are chasing the surburbanites outward
"not much new supply on the market"
of course, but it is a supply & demand equilibrium
"employment is still strong"
ok, but 3.1 million unemployed is a lot of tight wallets
and another 300,000 new unemployed every single week
(many find new jobs quickly)
and employment will be strong for how long?

the missing piece even for employed people is
WILLINGNESS TO PAY UP THE HIGH PRICE BEING ASKED
some people can afford to wait I(and will wait)
some people are putting their properties up for sale (discretionary)

and now we may be seeing bonds overbought, rates lower than a balance would indicate
so an uptick in mortgage rates might have an effect here
we will see
/ jim