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Technology Stocks : EMC How high can it go? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JDN who wrote (13184)9/14/2001 4:52:30 PM
From: big guy  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 17183
 
A little something on how the sad but current environment may affect EMC. There mentioned near the end of the article.

Market not doomed...

September 14, 2001 12:00 AM ET

by Michelle Rushlo

The nation, and the financial community, in particular, continues to reel from the
heart-wretching terrorist-caused deaths on the East Coast.

Some market watchers had initially predicted the attacks would tip the faltering economy
into recession, but many now expect the economy to prosper in the long term.

"There's certainly sectors that will feel the impact," said John Davidson, chief investment
officer at Circle Trust Co. But "I see some opportunities here for greater and swifter
economic and monetary policy to give us stronger growth going forward."

Following the destruction of the World Trade Center, the Federal Reserve board made it
clear that it was monitoring the situation and would provide more liquidity if necessary.
Davidson believes that may lead to more aggressive interest rate cuts.

Congress also seems ready to stop fighting over the budget, at least temporarily, and will
apparently approve $20 billion in emergency spending to help deal with the crisis.

Bullish in the long term

U.S. equities markets are closed for the fourth day this week, the longest New York
Stock Exchange shutdown since the start of World War I. Market officials say trading
should resume on Monday.

When the markets do reopen, analysts generally expect a drop, as individual investors
retreat and some institutional investors trim positions. Airline and insurance company
stocks are obvious targets for selling, and the specter of a U.S. military reaction casts
more uncertainty over the markets.

"From a psychological perspective, it pushes consumer confidence over the edge," said
Briefing.com technology analyst Damon Southward.

But he and Davidson both say that overall, the financial picture does not necessarily look
bleak.

If the market drops 10 percent or 11 percent in the first week after the reopening, it
could provide the market capitulation that many have been waiting for, Southward said.

"Fund managers are actually getting bullish," he said. "It's a long-term positive.
Short-term, I would be worried."

Tech stands to gain

But he and Davidson both say technology stocks overall could stand to gain.

Data backup and recovery could be of particular interest as many companies think twice
about putting off those projects in light of the World Trade Center destruction.

Data recovery and backup "is a pain and it's expensive," Davidson said.

With tight budgets, some companies may have thought they could squeeze by on older
systems, but Tuesday's events will probably make them think twice about procrastinating
further. And, an update of backup systems could drive more sales of personal
computers, servers and software, he said.

"That may give an earlier start to tech companies than we might have otherwise
achieved," he said.

Southward agreed.

He said more interest in data storage and disaster recovery companies could benefit
firms like data storage giant EMC (EMC) and SunGard Data Systems (SDS), a
lesser-known information technology provider focused on financial companies.

Investors and fund managers know that technology will still be a leading play over the
next several years, he said. "So when they buy it, they are going to buy a lot of it. They'll
buy it hot and heavy."

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