To: patron_anejo_por_favor who wrote (13612 ) 9/14/2001 6:26:16 PM From: JRI Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 209892 Agreed. I guess my point is: There is a natural assumption that this heinous act is going to lead to a rash of new attacks in the United States. And certainly, the U.S. needs to prepare as if it is, and, psychologically, expect more attacks. But the facts are, this was one attack. Granted, one enormous attack. But only one attack. Before then, there was an attack on the Cole, and then in 1998 embassies in Africa, and the 1993 bombing of WTC. That is 4 events in 8 years. Obviously, 4 too many. But that is a long way from attacks every week, or month, etc. on our soil. That has not been the pattern to date. Despite the enormity of this attack, it does not necessarily mean more are to follow, especially w/increased security measures. Has the MO for these guys changed? It seems like Bin Laden's history is to do big events every few years. Maybe organizationally its too difficult to do something big every week. Maybe it takes too much manpower (after all, nature of beast, whenever an attack occur, he loses those "educated" terrorists. That's years of training and manpower gone). Maybe after an attack, he likes to lay low (avoid capture), and wait again until the opponents' defenses are down...giving a greater chance for success. Without a doubt, if Bin Laden et al are starting a campaign of frequent attacks, that will be a new strategy....requiring different capabilities. Almost a fundamental shift in strategy. Has he really been preparing for this? So, I think if the U.S. response is quick here (ie., well-coordination w/allies, greatly increased intelligence, better security here in U.S. etc., and a steady, but very active effort to get to Bin Laden, and take apart cells around world by every means- while also, over time, going after the rogue states in different fashions), then chances of avoiding further major disasters, in the near-term, are very, very good. Most security experts agree..if you get these guys on the run, playing defense, then they have a much more difficult time planning attacks (playing offense). Israeli must be doing something right, or the MO of the terrorists is not for all-out attack, the Israelis are still able to run a fully-functioning society many years after attacks first occured. Obviously, the war is not being totally won, but it is not totally being lost either by the Israelis.. This has been way too long-winded, and maybe I'm just tired of the extreme pessimism I hear now (and my worst fears), but I seem to recall that everyone thought the Gulf War was going to be much more difficult than it turned out. Perhaps the U.S. preparing for worst there created such a great result in the end. Maybe we can do the same this time. I think its possible, and something to give us all hope.