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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Clint E. who wrote (34231)9/17/2001 4:11:00 PM
From: Logain Ablar  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 69854
 
Clint:

I purchased more @ $13 this afternoon. I'm sure this is one of the rare times my price is lower. My initial thought is once we bottom we will rally somewhat till the end of the month but I really don't know how I'll be playing this (I have to revisit my exit strategy and risk rewards with the risk end already violated). With so much liquidity some sectors can rally strongly as others continue to be weak.

Really looking @ it now there are still over valued sectors and under valued companies within beaten down sectors. Of course the undervalued companies can become much more under valued <vbg>.

I've never researched STOR or NAT (no position) and will have to start looking into these two.

I can see transports being weak for quite a while. Not only the initial cut backs but I expect additional cutbacks.



To: Clint E. who wrote (34231)9/18/2001 12:42:36 AM
From: Clint E.  Respond to of 69854
 
Monday Sept 17, Stocks Plunge, Dow Posts Record Point Drop
By Haitham Haddadin

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Stocks posted a wrenching slide on Monday, with the Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI) pushed to its biggest point drop ever, as investors shrugged off a surprise interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve and focused on fears that last week's terror attack on the world's financial heart may stoke a global recession.
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``The market hates uncertainty and to have this happen is a shock wave,'' said Larry Wachtel, market analyst at Prudential Securities, who returned to his offices in Manhattan's financial district amid acrid smoke from the smoldering ruins of the World Trade Center. ``This is something new to the American public and could contribute to a recession.''

Entertainment stocks like Walt Disney Co. (NYSE:DIS - news) and airline stocks like UAL Corp. (NYSE:UAL - news), parent of No. 2 United Airlines, led the selloff on Wall Street's first day of trading since last week's assaults. The few winners included defense contractors like Raytheon Co. (NYSE:RTN - news) and hand gun maker Sturm Ruger & Co. (NYSE:RGR - news), as investors bet on U.S. retaliation and consumers becoming more security conscious.

Stocks were little changed in after-hours trading, and investors are bracing for more stock declines, albeit not of Monday's magnitude.

``Another couple of days of heavy pressure would not surprise me, but I don't think we are going to see any more down 5 percent days,'' said Henry Herrmann, chief investment officer at fund firm Waddell & Reed, which manages $32 billion in assets.

The Dow Jones industrial average (.DJI) plunged 684.81 points, or 7.13 percent, to end at 8,920.70, logging its biggest point loss ever and marking its lowest close since late 1998. The loss did not make the Top 10 biggest daily percentage drops, which is still headed by the 22.6 percent decline on Black Monday, when the stock market crashed on Oct. 19, 1987.

The broader Standard & Poor's 500 Index (.SPX) lost 53.77 points, or 4.92 percent, to finish at 1,038.77 and the technology-laced Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC) sank 115.82 points, or 6.83 percent, to 1,579.55. Both indexes were the lowest since mid-October 1998.

The New York Stock Exchange, located just three blocks southeast of the leveled World Trade Center, posted record volume. Politicians, regulators and grass-roots movements on the Web had exhorted investors to stage a patriotic rally, but few stepped up to the plate.

Trading was very heavy with 2.36 billion shares changing hands on the Big Board, the highest ever in the history of the NYSE. Roughly four stocks fell for every one that rose on both the NYSE and the Nasdaq.

Some 534 NYSE stocks and 718 Nasdaq stocks fell to new 52-week lows, including Web gear giant Cisco Systems (NasdaqNM:CSCO - news). Cisco, which like many companies announced a stock buyback, was Nasdaq's most active issue and lost 47 cents to $14.

Central bankers on both sides of the Atlantic slashed interest rates, usually a positive for stocks. But apprehension over possible U.S. military retaliation and a weakening economy kept stocks planted in negative terrain.

``The market has a lot to digest. There's a lot of emotion in today's market as many people were affected by the tragedy,'' said Peter Coolidge, managing director of equity trading at Brean Murray & Co. ``If you looked at trading in Europe and Asia before, you would have expected something of this magnitude (here) or even a little bit more.''

Grieving but resolute Wall Street bond traders, bankers and stock analysts returned to work on Monday, and many said they wanted to get financial markets rolling again.

``I want to get back to my daily routine, I want to move forward,'' said Share Crafton, a stock broker at Thornwater Co. on a somber Wall Street this morning. ``The opening of the stock exchange is symbolic. It shows the strength of Americans pulling together.''

Financial pros did pull together -- many Wall Street firms operated from make-shift trading operations across the Hudson River in New Jersey -- but failed to prevent a sharp selloff.

About $600 billion in investor wealth evaporated on Monday, as measured by a 5 percent drop in the broad Wilshire 5000 index (.TMW). Some $6.1 trillion in investor wealth has been wiped out since the Nasdaq index hit a peak in March 2000.

Many mainstream investors sat tight, instilling a sense of resilience during the massive selloff.

``Basically, I'm going to hold pat,'' said Don Stern, an art dealer from Highland Park, New Jersey, who invests in mutual funds and indexes such as the Standard & Poor's 500. ``Call it patriotism or whatever. I don't like panic reactions to things and I also think it wouldn't be good for the country to sell.''

Wall Street bond traders, bankers and stock analysts are still missing co-workers in the ruins of the World Trade Center's 110-story twin towers. Many showed up for work carrying paper American flags, and a uncharacteristic spirit of cooperation was evident.

``Even our competitors are our friends. We want to get down here and be successful,'' Joseph Mahoney, a director at New York Stock Exchange specialist firm Wagner Stott Bear. ``The market is still functioning. I can say I saw no panic.''

U.S. airline stocks plummeted as investors around the world feared sharp decline in air travel in the wake of the assault.

The Standard and Poor's Airlines Index (.SPAIR) plunged 32 percent, reflecting losses by AMR Corp. (NYSE:AMR - news), parent of American Airlines, down $11.70 at $18, or off 39 percent, and US Airways (NYSE:U - news) lost $6.05 to $5.57, or 52 percent.

Continental Airlines Inc. (NYSE:CAL - news) fell $19.59 to $20.05, or more than 49.4 percent, after the company said on Saturday it would lay off 12,000 staffers and warned it could file for bankruptcy. Continental Chief Executive Gordon Bethune warned as many as 100,000 airline jobs could be lost.

U.S. television networks stand to lose hundreds of millions of dollars from their decision to broadcast commercial-free news coverage of the attacks. Disney, which owns ABC, fell $4.33 to $19.25, the largest percentage decliner on the Dow.

Aerospace companies may ax jobs and cut research spending as ripples from the attacks spread to airline industry's suppliers. Honeywell International Inc. (NYSE:HON - news) dropped $6.20 to $29.50. Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA - news) fell $7.66 to $35.80.

The two pressured the Dow as did United Technologies Corp. (NYSE:UTX - news), which plunged $18.70 to $47.50, or 28 percent. United Technologies, whose products range from engines to elevators, said quarterly earnings would fall below targets due to disruptions in the commercial airline industry.

Defense contractors rose, led by makers of military electronics systems, as investors bet on an increase to defense spending following the attack. Raytheon rallied $6.65 to $31.50, Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:LMT - news) jumped $5.63 to $43.95. Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE:NOC - news) rose $12.86 to $94.80. Arms manufacturer Sturm Ruger added $1 to close at $10.30.

The Fed, acting between its regularly scheduled meetings, cut interest rates by a half percentage point to 3 percent from 3.50 percent to prop up the struggling economy. The European Central Bank followed suit and cut its rates by a half-percentage point in an unexpected move, as did the Swiss National Bank, which also lowered rates by a similar amount.

So far, the Fed's cuts this year have done little to boost the sagging stock market. But a number of analysts said Monday's selloff on very heavy volume left stocks undervalued.

``With the reduction in interest rates, with the market declines today and with all the fiscal stimulus that's on the table, I believe the market is now undervalued,'' said Stanley Nabi, managing director at Credit Suisse Asset Management, which oversees $110 billion.



To: Clint E. who wrote (34231)9/18/2001 12:52:24 AM
From: Clint E.  Respond to of 69854
 
finally....video-conferencing is one application that could start gobbling up bandwidth.

Monday September 17 4:43 PM ET
Videoconferencing Stocks Surge Today
PHILADELPHIA (Reuters) - Shares of videoconferencing providers surged on Monday as investors bet corporate travel restrictions and Americans' concerns about flying may benefit the industry after last week's attacks, analysts said.

Shares of Polycom Inc. (Nasdaq:PLCM - news) and ACT Teleconferencing Inc. (Nasdaq:ACTT - news) soared on the first day of trading after the Sept. 11 airplane attacks on the World Trade Center and Pentagon (news - web sites).

Polycom, which makes video communication equipment and software, jumped $6.31, or 33 percent, to $25.45 in heavy trading on Nasdaq. Polycom's merger partner, PictureTel Corp. (Nasdaq:PCTL - news) added 59 cents, or 12.9 percent, to $5.17. ACT Teleconferencing soared $2.35, or 47 percent, to $7.35, making it one of the biggest percentage gainers on Nasdaq.

The videoconferencing sector was one of the few bright spots on Monday when the U.S. stock market resumed trading. The Dow Jones Industrials average fell 679 points, or 7.1 percent, to 8920.7, while the Nasdaq composite index shed 116.09 points, or 6.85 percent, to 1579.28.

``With increased security and limited flight availability, we expect business travel to drop precipitously. However, business must continue. Therefore, we expect to see a significant increase in demand for videoconferencing equipment and services,'' Pacific Growth Equities analyst Brian Alger said in a research report.

The attacks by four hijacked airplanes on Tuesday sparked a surge in demand for videoconferencing services as businesses and families tried to locate friends and loved ones, and emergency workers tried to coordinate rescue efforts. An unprecedented two-day ban on air travel also forced companies to find new ways to hold meetings or tend to clients.

``The tragedy itself, the failure of not being able to get from one place to another, being stranded out of contact, will probably have an impact on use of technology because travel is unpractical or scary,'' Polycom Executive Vice President Jules Devgne said in an interview last week.

King of Prussia, Pennsylvania-based VSPAN, which typically handles about 3,500 corporate clients a day, said last week it saw a 30 percent to 40 percent increase in traffic after the attack. Privately held VSPAN expects the surging demand will require it to almost double its business in the near term.

``After the attack occurred, we saw a gigantic spike in demand with people needing to communicate, and set up emergency assurance,'' said Ken Hayward, chief executive of VSPAN, which coordinates video, audio and Web-based conferencing services for business meetings, events and training.

Beyond market leaders Polycom and Picturetel, Alger said he expects any companies that provide services and equipment for business-class videoconferencing will likely see a near-term boost from the downturn in business travel.

Wire One Technologies Inc. (Nasdaq:WONE - news), which resells Polycom and PictureTel equipment, rose 97 cents, or 22.7 percent, to $5.25. Distributors and dealers such as MCSi Inc. (Nasdaq:MCSI - news) and Tech Data Corp. (Nasdaq:TECD - news) may also see a benefit from an increase in demand, Alger said.



To: Clint E. who wrote (34231)9/18/2001 12:54:32 AM
From: Clint E.  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 69854
 
Monday Sept 17,, Disaster Recovery Stocks Up as NY Rebuilds
Audio/Video

By Kristin Roberts

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Shares of defense contractors surged on Monday, led by makers of military electronics systems, as investors bet on increased defense spending after Tuesday's attack on the World Trade Center and Pentagon (news - web sites).

But aerospace companies that supply parts and systems to the commercial airline industry watched their stocks tumble on an expected financial crisis for the air carriers, analysts said.

Engineered Support Systems Inc. (Nasdaq:EASI - news), Raytheon Co. (NYSE:RTN - news) and L-3 Communications Holdings Inc. (NYSE:LLL - news) were among the market's strongest gainers on Monday, with stocks rising by more than 25 percent during the session.

Traditional names in the defense industry climbed as well. Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:LMT - news) and Northrop Grumman Corp. (NYSE:NOC - news) added 15 percent to their stock prices during the day.

``The terrorist attack on America is a major watershed event likely to bolster U.S. weapons spending, buttressing already solid earnings prospects for most defense contractors,'' said Cai von Rumohr, analyst at SG Cowen.

On the commercial side of aerospace, parts and airframe suppliers sank, including shares of Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA - news), United Technologies Corp. (NYSE:UTX - news), Honeywell International Inc. (NYSE:HON - news) and Goodrich Corp. (NYSE:GR - news)

Wall Street stock analysts said demand for aircraft parts and systems will suffer as airlines cut back on flight service, swallow the cost of last week's ban on commercial air travel and adjust for an expected decline in bookings.

``Fewer flights means less consumption of their high profit spare parts,'' said Sam Pearlstein, analyst at First Union Securities.

DEFENSIVE BUYING

While shares of all defense contractors, except Boeing, shot higher, investors discriminated between makers of electronic warfare technologies and makers of traditional weapons such as fighter jets and warships.

Wall Street analysts noted military electronics companies were likely to be clear winners as the U.S. government prepared to strike back against what it has dubbed ``terrorist acts.''

The New York Stock Exchange (news - web sites)'s top gainer was L-3, which supplies secure communications and specialized products to prime contractors in the aerospace and military industry. The stock surged $24.00, or 38 percent, to $87.00.

Engineered Support Systems, whose products range from the Stryker system that assists in surveillance and engagement to the Refrigerated Ship Stores system that keeps frozen foods frozen on submarines, was among the Nasdaq's leading gainers, stock soaring $10.66, or 34 percent, to $41.71.

Alliant Techsystems Inc. (NYSE:ATK - news), a leader in munitions and precision capabilities, and CACI International Inc. (Nasdaq:CACI - news), a provider of information technology services to the U.S. government, both gained more than 20 percent to hit new highs.

Similarly, some technology companies that normally are not considered part of the defense industry posted comparable gains due to their connection with security products, analysts said.

SunGard Data Systems (NYSE:SDS - news), Comdisco Inc. (NYSE:CDO - news) and Iron Mountain Inc. (NYSE:IRM - news) along with data storage companies StorageNetworks (Nasdaq:STOR - news) and EMC Corp. (NYSE:EMC - news) rose.

``Anything that is sort of security-related or back-up related is up. That shouldn't be a surprise to anyone,'' said Andrew Jeffrey, an analyst at Robertson Stephens.

TRADITIONAL LEADERS

Raytheon, maker of strike systems and the Patriot missile, surged more than 25 percent as analysts said the company would benefit from a boost in spending on warfare technologies thanks to its strength in defense electronics. SG Cowen early on Monday upgraded its investment rating on the stock to a ''trading buy'' from a ``hold.''

Other traditional names in defense posted substantial gains as well. Shares of Northrop, maker of the B-2 bomber and Global Hawk unmanned surveillance plane, rose 16 percent, or $12.86 to $94.80, and No. 1 contractor Lockheed, maker of fighter jets, climbed 15 percent, or $5.63, at $43.95.

Leaders in the aerospace manufacturing sector dropped as investors anticipated a decrease in demand from airlines.

United Technologies warned that earnings in the fourth quarter would fall below targets due to disruptions in the commercial airline industry. That stock, a component of the blue-chip Dow Jones industrial average, plunged 28 percent, or $18.70 to $47.50.

Heico Corp. (NYSE:HEI - news), a jet engine parts maker, said it was too soon to know the effect of last week's attacks. The stock fell 13 percent, or $2.28 to $14.70.

First Union listed United Technologies and Heico along with Goodrich, Moog Inc. (AMEX:MOGA - news) and Esterline Technologies Corp. (NYSE:ESL - news) as manufacturers that may be impacted.