SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Steve's Channelling Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeev Hed who wrote (27793)9/17/2001 7:59:31 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 30051
 
In looking back at the crashes in 1987, 1998, and earlier this year, I cannot find an instance where the low was a closing low. Most of the lows came with an intra-day bounce.

Looking at the technicals for the SPX, NDX, and COMPX, it would seem that we need to drop for the first hour or two before any type of decent bounce can happen. None of them have really turned up yet.

The technicals are so close to turning, however, that if you bought mutual funds, the close of today could be the near term low for funds.

It is difficult to find support levels for the NDX and COMPX. From what I can find, COMPX 1540 seems a decent support level. NDX 1235-1237 is also decent support (About QQQ 30.90). I did not look at the SPX, NYA, or DJI, as we don't seem to be trading those here.

The one thing all these crashes seem to have had in common was a huge surge of buying once the bottom was found (at least for the first couple of days). I'm wondering what is going to give us the catalyst for strong, sustained buying?



To: Zeev Hed who wrote (27793)9/18/2001 12:08:10 AM
From: AugustWest  Respond to of 30051
 
I'll have to see the colors of that first advance...

zeev, I think we already sw the first colors. Looks like today's markets(a week behind) mimiced the eurpoeans. Might be this way for a while.