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Strategies & Market Trends : Steve's Channelling Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ajtj99 who wrote (27872)9/18/2001 3:27:29 PM
From: Steve Lee  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30051
 
I think the VIX is dropping cos the manipulators are buying certain stocks at set levels. Like $54 on MSFT being the most obvious example. With someone trying to keep stocks above a certain point, volatility is bound to drop and is a fake reading in my opinion.



To: ajtj99 who wrote (27872)9/18/2001 3:31:31 PM
From: thesilenttype  Respond to of 30051
 
Holding long overnight is now riskier than ever with 1)possibility of another terrorist attack & 2)warning season underway.This could set up a pattern of closing at or near the lods for awhile.



To: ajtj99 who wrote (27872)9/18/2001 3:37:21 PM
From: JRI  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 30051
 
AJTJ99- Given the mass of selling facing this market (tax-loss selling, Japanese repatriation of capital, other foreignors fleeing a weakening dollar, bin Laden fear, negative fund inflows, etc., stocks "over-owned" by institutions)..I wonder if the only way we get a decent bounce now is ENORMOUS fear....better than 1998 levels and approaching/at 1987 crash levels...

There is absolutely no reason to buy here.

If you go back to mid-March/late-March, U.S. equities continued to tank from oversold levels, and Japan got closer to M2M....we are in a similar period now, but have these add'l liquidity problems to face...not good..

One bright spot, obviously, is the Fed's massive pump....but this pump has been going on for a while, and a couple weeks ago, one day the Fed put in the equivelent of 2 weeks liquidity one day, and market absolutely tanked...so, I think the "Fed effect" is quickly losing its potentcy, and, in any event, there is no way the Fed can keep pumping at the never-before-seen rate of the last few days...

You still think that COMPX 1540 has a chance? I am tempted long, but keeping chanting the mantra listed above...