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To: Toby Zidle who wrote (8642)9/19/2001 7:20:11 AM
From: sandintoes  Respond to of 17683
 
How could we ever go after the people who did this and get the money back? We can't, and the American people suffer at their hands one more time!

INTERNET STOCK NEWS [tm]
1. General Sentiment

Last Tuesday's newsletter was prepared and e-mailed to the
e-mail service in the morning prior to the terrorist
attacks in lower Manhattan and the Pentagon. I wish I had
the opportunity to provide regular e-mails to readers in
order to share my thoughts as the week's events unfolded.

I have no doubt that many readers either had loved ones
working in or near the World Trade Center or the Pentagon
at the time of the attacks. My thoughts and prayers are
with you.

A week has passed since the attacks occurred. I find it
difficult to offer stock recommendations in these uncertain
times or to comment on the general direction of the market.
The best I can offer at this time is some observations from
notes I've taken throughout the week.

2. Observations

In the past few months, Ron Insana, the CNBC network anchor
reporter, commented to several Wall Street heavy-hitters he
regularly interviews that the market has been reacting to
some unknown quantity that he and others close to the
market couldn't fully explain.

Insana has written a book, "The Message of the Market."
Insana's premise is that the "market" actually represents
the collective decisions of many persons who act in concert
so that they arrive at one basic decision. That basic
decision determines the trend of the price of a particular
equity, be it a stock, a bond, or a lumber futures
contract.

Insana's thoughts aren't particularly original, for Richard
Wyckoff, who lived during the first quarter of the 20th
century, made the same observations in his books and
newsletters about market behavior.

It was Wyckoff who said, "Listen to what the market is
saying about others, not what others are saying about the
market."

Still, I thought it was worth mentioning, considering the
fact that the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate-cutting
policy intended to stimulate the U.S. economy hasn't
produced any significant change in the market's general
direction this year.

The lack of change has indeed puzzled many high-level
market strategists who have expressed surprise that the
market should have already reacted positively to the Fed's
monetary and fiscal stimuli.

Still, while the popular averages continued to head south,
several industry sectors have done quite well in 2001.
Trouble is, these sectors are usually considered
"defensive" in nature. They are the slow, but steady
growers like construction, homebuilding, mortgage lenders,
foods, pharmaceuticals, medical devices, restaurants,
insurance, defense contractors, energy-related, consumer
goods, savings & loans, asset managers.

The sexy, high-growth portions of the U.S. economy -
telecommunications, semiconductors, Internet,
biotechnology, computers, software, hardware, data-storage
- are in such a bearish hole there's no telling when they
will dig themselves out and resume historical growth rates
of 20% to 50% a year.

Despite the optimistic predictions of analysts that cover
these sectors, in addition to the forecasts of some of its
leading executives, there's a growing doubt that these
businesses will ever see the kind of growth that they and
their shareholders once enjoyed and believed was
practically guaranteed.

Given what has happened in world stock markets since last
Tuesday's attacks, I find Insana's remarks worth
mentioning.

The newswires report that U.S., European and SE Asian
investigators have launched probes to determine the cause
of the unusually high amount of put option trading in
airline, bank and insurance stocks prior to the terrorist
attacks.

Investigators will also attempt to track down how these
terrorist networks finance their operations and whether
they have been significant short-sellers intent upon
destroying shareholder value.