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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold and Silver Mining Stocks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: russwinter who wrote (2230)9/20/2001 11:00:48 AM
From: Braincramp  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 4051
 
So why are producers not buying back their gold, they have the market by the short hairs IMO. Could it be that they are so far up the bankers as- they can see Greeny's feet. Gold has to close above 294 quick or this rally will be over.



To: russwinter who wrote (2230)9/20/2001 11:44:45 AM
From: goldsheet  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4051
 
THE GFMS estimates for 2001 are all strong on the supply side
(for first six months: mine production up 4%, cash costs down
$16, scrap up 16%) and weak on the demand side (total fab down
3%, with industrial down 8%) I'm sure you will eventually have
your day (although I don't see primary mine production down more
than 10% over the next 3 years versus your 30%+ estimate)

Meanwhile, we are going to see one of the smallest gaps between
primary mine supply and total demand in a decade, which can be mostly
filled by scrap and require relatively little forward or bank sales;

Year Mine Demand Gap
---- ---- ---- ----
1988 1848 2746 898
1989 2023 3076 1053
---- ---- ---- ----
1990 2127 3096 969
1991 2160 3128 968
1992 2250 3518 1268
1993 2270 3442 1172
1994 2260 3305 1045
---- ---- ---- ----
1995 2250 3606 1356
1996 2328 3518 1190
1997 2472 4228 1756
1998 2555 4123 1568
1999 2569 4065 1496
---- ---- ---- ----
2000 2573 3946 1373
2001 2604 3604 1000