SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: waverider who wrote (105234)9/20/2001 5:36:44 PM
From: Roadkill  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 152472
 
No doubt, everyone is watching these indicators, but no more so than all the professional investors did at the bottom of the bear markets in '87, '90, '94 (bear primarily in tech) and '98. Those professionals still panicked at the bottom.

A few things are different now than at any time in this 19 month bear. First, all the sentiment indicators are flashing signals at the same time. In April 2000 and again in April 2001, we had some of those signals, but not all, and even then, those signals were not anywhere near the extreme levels we have seen today and this week. Indeed, the put/call ratio peaked at about 1.05 or something like that in those two Aprils. This week, it hit a little above 1 on Mon and Tues before going through the roof today to 1.2, which as I recall was similar to the peak in the 1987 crash. That level as you know is almost unheard of. Second, numerous other, secondary indicators suggest a bottom is near. For instance, on Monday, NYSE volume actually surpassed Naz volume for the first time since the 1998 bear. There are others, but you get the idea. All the best.

RK



To: waverider who wrote (105234)9/20/2001 9:20:29 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
 
<Funny thing is...EVERYONE is watching those indicators. What do you think that means?>

I wasn't watching. I think that means I don't know what's going on.

Mq