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Technology Stocks : The *NEW* Frank Coluccio Technology Forum -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Frank A. Coluccio who wrote (3966)	9/22/2001 2:16:52 PM
From: Ahda	Respond to of 46821

Lovely day

To: Frank A. Coluccio who wrote (3966)	9/23/2001 2:13:02 AM
From: elmatador	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 46821

The problem with C.O. is the Central. In technology, Centralized systems will always lose to distributed systems. If we distribute the functionality all over the place, an accident on a certain part of the network, can be dealt in a cheaper and much faster way. Knock down a couple of BTS's and we can roll them on pick up trucks and put into position until we can replace the old ones. I can bet that wireless was ON AIR much fatsre than any cable based facility around ground zero. (have made no research but its my gut feeling) One thing that I have always been against te concept of the Mega-Swicth -a couple of million lines handled by a mother exchange and with remote switching stages spread all over the place- was its danger to knock it out with a single blow. But the CO -as we know it today- has, perhaps, some 5 years before becoming technically obsolete. The existing CO has an average remaining life of between four and five years. When that stuff will be replaced, it will be replaced by a network based on distributed system. WhatI like about that is that the soon to be technically technology stuff belongs to ILECs. Because ILECs and thier suppliers built tight-coupled elements, there will be no way to savlage parts of it. It will be junked all at one go. We will live to see places where today we have CO being leased as car parks, malls or skate rings. IT will happne between 2005 - 2010 in the US. In other parts of the world perhaps later than that.

To: Frank A. Coluccio who wrote (3966)	9/23/2001 2:56:36 AM
From: elmatador	Respond to of 46821

Elmat assessment of the damage: Cable vault KO. Inundated, non-accessible or dangerous to work in. Most possible MDF partially KO. This black 'spaghetti' are high count cable-pairs. They've got the cables and spliced them at Manhole 001, (the first one out of the cable vault,) run them up the walls, and them run them to a make-shift MDF in case MDF severely damaged. Leased lines have priority in bringing back services to life (Verizon makes more money with them than with local telehony) That's why Verizon re-progragmmed public phones for free so that people (without mobile phones) have basic telephony since the local telephony has lower priority than leased lines. New Base Terminal Stations (BTS) may have been trucked in to increase capacity so that wireless services take on basic telephony. Rack row damage. Most probably switching core functions still in good conditions. Otherwise the emergency-reworking not being carried out. Subscribers' stage are perhaps damaged and easy to replace. Power Supply (rectifiers and batteries) most probably damaged. Most probabaly containerized units trucked in. COSTS: Very expensive re-work. Depend on high-skileed blue collar work. Error prone. The bill will be huge. Good opportunity to get rid of obsolete junk. (depreciation and bean counters will take care of that) RISKS: If those cables are jelly-filled and installed in the vertical it will lead to problems. Cabling exposed to wind. Need to be clamped to the building walls. (I think they've already took care of that. Winter is apraching. All internall facilities are subject to humidity and colder teperatures. Fire hazzard: Fire in those cables will bring fire into the building. Saboatge: VCabling left out are in risk of sabotage. Wireless is having a field day in the US. Proved sturdier. More convenient and practical and resilient. Elmat started his career as a MDF (70.000 lines) technician. His job was to spend the nights waiting for accidents to happen as a subway was being constructed in the heart of Sao Paulo's business disctrict.