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To: hdl who wrote (125032)9/23/2001 1:35:20 PM
From: 10K a day  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
dude, this market broke down badly.
the fed cut was sold.
the patriotic buy was sold.
technically this looks bad. Really bad.
There is so much paper sloshing around that has been created in the last couple of years.
You want to be a hero on a market hitting new lows.
(what is going to turn it around - everybody is expecting us to bomb somebody,,,what is that going to change?)



To: hdl who wrote (125032)9/23/2001 2:55:01 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 436258
 
10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate
Averages of Business Days
Percent
Source: H.15 Release -- Federal Reserve Board of Governors

DATE GS10

1953.04 2.83
1953.05 3.05
1953.06 3.11
1953.07 2.93
1953.08 2.95
1953.09 2.87
1953.10 2.66
1953.11 2.68
1953.12 2.59
1954.01 2.48
1954.02 2.47
1954.03 2.37
1954.04 2.29
1954.05 2.37
1954.06 2.38
1954.07 2.30
1954.08 2.36
1954.09 2.38
1954.10 2.43
1954.11 2.48
1954.12 2.51
1955.01 2.61
1955.02 2.65
1955.03 2.68
1955.04 2.75
1955.05 2.76
1955.06 2.78
1955.07 2.90
1955.08 2.97
1955.09 2.97
1955.10 2.88
1955.11 2.89
1955.12 2.96
1956.01 2.90
1956.02 2.84
1956.03 2.96
1956.04 3.18
1956.05 3.07
1956.06 3.00
1956.07 3.11
1956.08 3.33
1956.09 3.38
1956.10 3.34
1956.11 3.49
1956.12 3.59
1957.01 3.46
1957.02 3.34
1957.03 3.41
1957.04 3.48
1957.05 3.60
1957.06 3.80
1957.07 3.93
1957.08 3.93
1957.09 3.92
1957.10 3.97
1957.11 3.72
1957.12 3.21
1958.01 3.09
1958.02 3.05
1958.03 2.98
1958.04 2.88
1958.05 2.92
1958.06 2.97
1958.07 3.20
1958.08 3.54
1958.09 3.76
1958.10 3.80
1958.11 3.74
1958.12 3.86
1959.01 4.02
1959.02 3.96
1959.03 3.99
1959.04 4.12
1959.05 4.31
1959.06 4.34
1959.07 4.40
1959.08 4.43
1959.09 4.68
1959.10 4.53
1959.11 4.53
1959.12 4.69
1960.01 4.72
1960.02 4.49
1960.03 4.25
1960.04 4.28
1960.05 4.35
1960.06 4.15
1960.07 3.90
1960.08 3.80
1960.09 3.80
1960.10 3.89
1960.11 3.93
1960.12 3.84
1961.01 3.84
1961.02 3.78
1961.03 3.74
1961.04 3.78
1961.05 3.71
1961.06 3.88
1961.07 3.92
1961.08 4.04
1961.09 3.98
1961.10 3.92
1961.11 3.94
1961.12 4.06
1962.01 4.08
1962.02 4.04
1962.03 3.93
1962.04 3.84
1962.05 3.87
1962.06 3.91
1962.07 4.01
1962.08 3.98
1962.09 3.98
1962.10 3.93
1962.11 3.92
1962.12 3.86
1963.01 3.83
1963.02 3.92
1963.03 3.93
1963.04 3.97
1963.05 3.93
1963.06 3.99
1963.07 4.02
1963.08 4.00
1963.09 4.08
1963.10 4.11
1963.11 4.12
1963.12 4.13
1964.01 4.17
1964.02 4.15
1964.03 4.22
1964.04 4.23
1964.05 4.20
1964.06 4.17
1964.07 4.19
1964.08 4.19
1964.09 4.20
1964.10 4.19
1964.11 4.15
1964.12 4.18
1965.01 4.19
1965.02 4.21
1965.03 4.21
1965.04 4.20
1965.05 4.21
1965.06 4.21
1965.07 4.20
1965.08 4.25
1965.09 4.29
1965.10 4.35
1965.11 4.45
1965.12 4.62
1966.01 4.61
1966.02 4.83
1966.03 4.87
1966.04 4.75
1966.05 4.78
1966.06 4.81
1966.07 5.02
1966.08 5.22
1966.09 5.18
1966.10 5.01
1966.11 5.16
1966.12 4.84
1967.01 4.58
1967.02 4.63
1967.03 4.54
1967.04 4.59
1967.05 4.85
1967.06 5.02
1967.07 5.16
1967.08 5.28
1967.09 5.30
1967.10 5.48
1967.11 5.75
1967.12 5.70
1968.01 5.53
1968.02 5.56
1968.03 5.74
1968.04 5.64
1968.05 5.87
1968.06 5.72
1968.07 5.50
1968.08 5.42
1968.09 5.46
1968.10 5.58
1968.11 5.70
1968.12 6.03
1969.01 6.04
1969.02 6.19
1969.03 6.30
1969.04 6.17
1969.05 6.32
1969.06 6.57
1969.07 6.72
1969.08 6.69
1969.09 7.16
1969.10 7.10
1969.11 7.14
1969.12 7.65
1970.01 7.79
1970.02 7.24
1970.03 7.07
1970.04 7.39
1970.05 7.91
1970.06 7.84
1970.07 7.46
1970.08 7.53
1970.09 7.39
1970.10 7.33
1970.11 6.84
1970.12 6.39
1971.01 6.24
1971.02 6.11
1971.03 5.70
1971.04 5.83
1971.05 6.39
1971.06 6.52
1971.07 6.73
1971.08 6.58
1971.09 6.14
1971.10 5.93
1971.11 5.81
1971.12 5.93
1972.01 5.95
1972.02 6.08
1972.03 6.07
1972.04 6.19
1972.05 6.13
1972.06 6.11
1972.07 6.11
1972.08 6.21
1972.09 6.55
1972.10 6.48
1972.11 6.28
1972.12 6.36
1973.01 6.46
1973.02 6.64
1973.03 6.71
1973.04 6.67
1973.05 6.85
1973.06 6.90
1973.07 7.13
1973.08 7.40
1973.09 7.09
1973.10 6.79
1973.11 6.73
1973.12 6.74
1974.01 6.99
1974.02 6.96
1974.03 7.21
1974.04 7.51
1974.05 7.58
1974.06 7.54
1974.07 7.81
1974.08 8.04
1974.09 8.04
1974.10 7.90
1974.11 7.68
1974.12 7.43
1975.01 7.50
1975.02 7.39
1975.03 7.73
1975.04 8.23
1975.05 8.06
1975.06 7.86
1975.07 8.06
1975.08 8.40
1975.09 8.43
1975.10 8.14
1975.11 8.05
1975.12 8.00
1976.01 7.74
1976.02 7.79
1976.03 7.73
1976.04 7.56
1976.05 7.90
1976.06 7.86
1976.07 7.83
1976.08 7.77
1976.09 7.59
1976.10 7.41
1976.11 7.29
1976.12 6.87
1977.01 7.21
1977.02 7.39
1977.03 7.46
1977.04 7.37
1977.05 7.46
1977.06 7.28
1977.07 7.33
1977.08 7.40
1977.09 7.34
1977.10 7.52
1977.11 7.58
1977.12 7.69
1978.01 7.96
1978.02 8.03
1978.03 8.04
1978.04 8.15
1978.05 8.35
1978.06 8.46
1978.07 8.64
1978.08 8.41
1978.09 8.42
1978.10 8.64
1978.11 8.81
1978.12 9.01
1979.01 9.10
1979.02 9.10
1979.03 9.12
1979.04 9.18
1979.05 9.25
1979.06 8.91
1979.07 8.95
1979.08 9.03
1979.09 9.33
1979.10 10.30
1979.11 10.65
1979.12 10.39
1980.01 10.80
1980.02 12.41
1980.03 12.75
1980.04 11.47
1980.05 10.18
1980.06 9.78
1980.07 10.25
1980.08 11.10
1980.09 11.51
1980.10 11.75
1980.11 12.68
1980.12 12.84
1981.01 12.57
1981.02 13.19
1981.03 13.12
1981.04 13.68
1981.05 14.10
1981.06 13.47
1981.07 14.28
1981.08 14.94
1981.09 15.32
1981.10 15.15
1981.11 13.39
1981.12 13.72
1982.01 14.59
1982.02 14.43
1982.03 13.86
1982.04 13.87
1982.05 13.62
1982.06 14.30
1982.07 13.95
1982.08 13.06
1982.09 12.34
1982.10 10.91
1982.11 10.55
1982.12 10.54
1983.01 10.46
1983.02 10.72
1983.03 10.51
1983.04 10.40
1983.05 10.38
1983.06 10.85
1983.07 11.38
1983.08 11.85
1983.09 11.65
1983.10 11.54
1983.11 11.69
1983.12 11.83
1984.01 11.67
1984.02 11.84
1984.03 12.32
1984.04 12.63
1984.05 13.41
1984.06 13.56
1984.07 13.36
1984.08 12.72
1984.09 12.52
1984.10 12.16
1984.11 11.57
1984.12 11.50
1985.01 11.38
1985.02 11.51
1985.03 11.86
1985.04 11.43
1985.05 10.85
1985.06 10.16
1985.07 10.31
1985.08 10.33
1985.09 10.37
1985.10 10.24
1985.11 9.78
1985.12 9.26
1986.01 9.19
1986.02 8.70
1986.03 7.78
1986.04 7.30
1986.05 7.71
1986.06 7.80
1986.07 7.30
1986.08 7.17
1986.09 7.45
1986.10 7.43
1986.11 7.25
1986.12 7.11
1987.01 7.08
1987.02 7.25
1987.03 7.25
1987.04 8.02
1987.05 8.61
1987.06 8.40
1987.07 8.45
1987.08 8.76
1987.09 9.42
1987.10 9.52
1987.11 8.86
1987.12 8.99
1988.01 8.67
1988.02 8.21
1988.03 8.37
1988.04 8.72
1988.05 9.09
1988.06 8.92
1988.07 9.06
1988.08 9.26
1988.09 8.98
1988.10 8.80
1988.11 8.96
1988.12 9.11
1989.01 9.09
1989.02 9.17
1989.03 9.36
1989.04 9.18
1989.05 8.86
1989.06 8.28
1989.07 8.02
1989.08 8.11
1989.09 8.19
1989.10 8.01
1989.11 7.87
1989.12 7.84
1990.01 8.21
1990.02 8.47
1990.03 8.59
1990.04 8.79
1990.05 8.76
1990.06 8.48
1990.07 8.47
1990.08 8.75
1990.09 8.89
1990.10 8.72
1990.11 8.39
1990.12 8.08
1991.01 8.09
1991.02 7.85
1991.03 8.11
1991.04 8.04
1991.05 8.07
1991.06 8.28
1991.07 8.27
1991.08 7.90
1991.09 7.65
1991.10 7.53
1991.11 7.42
1991.12 7.09
1992.01 7.03
1992.02 7.34
1992.03 7.54
1992.04 7.48
1992.05 7.39
1992.06 7.26
1992.07 6.84
1992.08 6.59
1992.09 6.42
1992.10 6.59
1992.11 6.87
1992.12 6.77
1993.01 6.60
1993.02 6.26
1993.03 5.98
1993.04 5.97
1993.05 6.04
1993.06 5.96
1993.07 5.81
1993.08 5.68
1993.09 5.36
1993.10 5.33
1993.11 5.72
1993.12 5.77
1994.01 5.75
1994.02 5.97
1994.03 6.48
1994.04 6.97
1994.05 7.18
1994.06 7.10
1994.07 7.30
1994.08 7.24
1994.09 7.46
1994.10 7.74
1994.11 7.96
1994.12 7.81
1995.01 7.78
1995.02 7.47
1995.03 7.20
1995.04 7.06
1995.05 6.63
1995.06 6.17
1995.07 6.28
1995.08 6.49
1995.09 6.20
1995.10 6.04
1995.11 5.93
1995.12 5.71
1996.01 5.65
1996.02 5.81
1996.03 6.27
1996.04 6.51
1996.05 6.74
1996.06 6.91
1996.07 6.87
1996.08 6.64
1996.09 6.83
1996.10 6.53
1996.11 6.20
1996.12 6.30
1997.01 6.58
1997.02 6.42
1997.03 6.69
1997.04 6.89
1997.05 6.71
1997.06 6.49
1997.07 6.22
1997.08 6.30
1997.09 6.21
1997.10 6.03
1997.11 5.88
1997.12 5.81
1998.01 5.54
1998.02 5.57
1998.03 5.65
1998.04 5.64
1998.05 5.65
1998.06 5.50
1998.07 5.46
1998.08 5.34
1998.09 4.81
1998.10 4.53
1998.11 4.83
1998.12 4.65
1999.01 4.72
1999.02 5.00
1999.03 5.23
1999.04 5.18
1999.05 5.54
1999.06 5.90
1999.07 5.79
1999.08 5.94
1999.09 5.92
1999.10 6.11
1999.11 6.03
1999.12 6.28
2000.01 6.66
2000.02 6.52
2000.03 6.26
2000.04 5.99
2000.05 6.44
2000.06 6.10
2000.07 6.05
2000.08 5.83
2000.09 5.80
2000.10 5.74
2000.11 5.72
2000.12 5.24
2001.01 5.16
2001.02 5.10
2001.03 4.89
2001.04 5.14
2001.05 5.39

decisionpoint.com

I don't see much correlation between 10-year treasury yields
and the market valuation. We've had plenty of periods with
equivalent or lower 10-year treasury yields and lower market
valuations.



To: hdl who wrote (125032)9/23/2001 5:23:12 PM
From: Shack  Respond to of 436258
 
Huh? What is there to make me cover shorts? An overly bullish cover story focusing on a ridiculously bullish way to value stocks?

Au contraire.



To: hdl who wrote (125032)9/23/2001 9:50:23 PM
From: BigMoney  Respond to of 436258
 
heres what i think of that:

siliconinvestor.com



To: hdl who wrote (125032)9/23/2001 11:53:09 PM
From: XBrit  Respond to of 436258
 
My contribution to the "Fed Model"/Barrons article discussion

Message 16403013