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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Gottfried who wrote (8562)9/24/2001 7:03:14 PM
From: kodiak_bull  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 23153
 
CNBC talking heads, the head of the Chamber of Commerce might as well be singing, "Ac-cen-tuate the Po-sitive!!"

Look to the monetary stimulus, tax cut, government spending (stimulus), and forget about the eventual 1/2 million jobs which will hit the dirt, hard, and the knock-on effect on the real estate market, retail, consumer electronics, tech in general, autos, steel, and the negative wealth effect. On the positive side we have a one day rally. Will we have a two day run?

Stay tuned.

Kb



To: Gottfried who wrote (8562)9/24/2001 8:09:48 PM
From: chowder  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 23153
 
Hi Gottfried! Well, the hollow red candle did its job! Talk about a reversal! Whew! I sold 2/3 of the positions I purchased on Friday. Double digit gains in a day are hard to ignore.

It's too bad these aren't normal times. The NASDAQ now has what is known as a "Morning Star" candlestick formation. This is usually very bullish!

A Morning Star Pattern is a 3 day trading pattern. The first day is a down day. The second day gaps down and stays below the low of the previous day. The third day gaps up above the second day's pattern and closes up for the day.

The star is that beautiful hollow red candle that showed up on Friday.

In addition to this, all of the technical indicators are now turning bullish. What a difference a day makes.

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyimy[pb20!b10!f][vc60][iut!Ub14!Ua12,26,9!Lh14,3!Ld20!Lj[$spx]]

The dilemma we face, in my opinion, in looking at this most bullish of reversal patterns, is the condition of the market. Earnings will continue to go lower, consumer confidence will probably see further decline, unemployment is on the rise and we still have October to get through. October is historically the second worst performing month, even in the best of times. With bad times upon us, it's anyone's guess as to how low we can go.

Maybe we have a few more days of upside before we go back to the downward trend, but in the face of the huge rally today, I thought it was prudent to take some profit and prepare to reload.

dabum