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To: techreports who wrote (47085)9/25/2001 4:33:25 AM
From: Bruce Brown  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
Well, my point was..JDSU has a profitable business or it will when things turn around. If video conferencing took off, that would only help JDSU.

Not to push the point, but how do you know JDS Uniphase will be profitable once things turn around?

BB



To: techreports who wrote (47085)9/25/2001 5:38:17 AM
From: JAPG  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
Well, my point was..JDSU has a profitable business or it will when things turn around. If video conferencing took off, that would only help JDSU

I understand that there is a glut of long-haul fiber. The bottleneck today seems to be in the "last mile" broadband access to the home or office. Companies and solutions that provide a fast and economical solution to this problem are the ones will reap first the benefits of a surge in video conferencing demand.

Fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) is costly and will take time as cable companies need to upgrade first their existing plant to enable two-way communications. IMO this is their first priority. A hybrid "fiber-wireless" could be a good (fast and cheap) alternative: fiber to the node and (from the node) broadband wireless to the home or office. Companies like Sprint and Worldcom have plans along this fiber-wireless solution.

When the "last mile" bottleneck is sorted out, then demand for more fiber will follow, which is when JDSU will benefit most. As per today "the last mile" remains an elusive challenge although progress is being made every day.

All of the above IMHO.

Take care

JAPG



To: techreports who wrote (47085)9/25/2001 11:45:36 AM
From: Thomas Mercer-Hursh  Respond to of 54805
 
Putting that in broadcast terms, where television shows attract not 100,000 viewers but up to 20m at a time, suggests that even modest use of VOD could bring today's Internet to its knees.

E.g. CNN.com on 11 September.