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Politics : War -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: epsteinbd who wrote (4688)9/26/2001 8:36:04 AM
From: TimF  Respond to of 23908
 
If a GDP grows by 2% and the birth rate by 2.2%, any country becomes poor. If you add inflation, within a generation an average country goes into misery.

The devloping countries that don't have corupt and stupid governments generally grow much faster then 2%. Of course they also have a rate of population increase that is higher then 2.2%, but many of them are getting wealthier. (atleast until the current slowdown and they don't go down as much in bad times as they go up in good times) It might take a poor country 100 years to be at the level of weath that we have currently in the US (and by then the US will probably be a lot wealthier so they still might feel poor because they might compare themselves against us instead of against where they came from).

But without the energy consumption, it is impossible, and with the same level of it (take out heating) is outrageous. No geology, not enough land for agriculture.

Many of the richer countries in the world have high population density. Many of them also use less energy per capita and less energy per unit of gross production then the US. In the US energy use per unit of GDP has gone down over the years and will go down more if energy supplies get tighter.

Have you ever read any of Julian Simon's work? Here is an interesting link to some of his writings. I have not actually done more then skim the link but I have read some of his writing before, just not online. I just found this link through google. I'll read it in greater detail later but I have to go to work soon so I can't check the whole hting out before I finish this post.

inform.umd.edu

OT - Thanks for the compliment.

Tim