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To: John Graybill who wrote (125798)	9/26/2001 2:02:24 PM
From: Dr. Jeff	Respond to of 436258

<< Look for more talk of "9-12" and less of "6-9" the next time there's a lot of talk about Fed action. >>> No doubt. The problem is that when any sort of recovery does come, it will not only be a false dawn, but it will likely foster a tremendous amount of unfounded optimism about a new big growth phase starting and a new bull market. This will of course set up another big leg down and a deeper and more protracted downturn as that will be a deathblow to confidence. Only when all hope is lost and there is no more talk of bottoms will be actually be near one. I think Heinz said it before, but I believe the actual bottom will be completely unnoticed by virtually everyone. There will be so much apathy and hatred toward stocks by then as well. Certainly a ways off yet........