Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Crystal Ball Predictions -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Crystal ball who wrote (17)	9/27/2001 10:22:57 AM
From: Jack Colton	Respond to of 19

I thought you were talking about my EX for a second: Malthusian Population Theory The Malthusian population theory was developed by the English economist and parson Thomas Malthus (1776 - 1834). Malthus argued that population growth would always exceed the growth in food supply. The theory states that population tends to grow at a geometric rate (2, 4, 8, 16, 32...), while the food supply tends to grow at an arithmetic rate (1, 2, 3, 4, 5...). Population growth tends to occur by unrestricted reproduction, while growth in agricultural output is restricted by the law of diminishing returns. The interaction of these two growth ratios will result in a tendency toward poverty and misery for the masses. Malthus believed that this tendency could be prevented by late marriages, celibacy and moral restraint. He was not optimistic about the practice of what he preached and wrote about other restraints on population growth which included famine, disease and war. His theory was later used to explain the British government policy of maintaining agricultural exports from Ireland during the Great Famine (1845-49)--in which at least 1.5 million people died of starvation or the side-effects of malnutrition, and at least another million immigrated. At that time, Whig government officials appeared to believe that the Irish famine was a beneficial Malthusian disaster. The ensuing loss of population due to starvation was understood in a Malthusian population theory framework as a positive restraint on population growth. Malthus underestimated the scope for technological progress. He wrote before the development of birth control devices and improvements in agricultural productivity. More important, he failed to anticipate the way in which rising real incomes, not falling ones, would slow down population growth. Latter-day Malthusians still fear that his grim predictions will come true in Africa and India, and many worry about the rate of growth in the world's population relative to the arable land available to feed the population of the future. TF

To: Crystal ball who wrote (17)	5/3/2002 2:26:08 PM
From: Crystal ball	Respond to of 19

Mutual Fund Managers are fully invested. Mutual Funds have the lowest cash positions in months, I agree that this is a bottom or near bottom and the time to be fully invested is now. Today is Friday, May 3rd, it is or just was Payday. I anticipated a PAYDAY RALLY perhaps towards the end of the day (up from the big drop) and certainly early next week, as money is invested. Lots of 401K and Mutual Fund money is always AUTOMATICALLY INVESTED on Payday, and thus, another PAYDAY RALLY is about to happen. EMC is at a multi year low, that is what I am buying into at the moment. BUY LOW and Sell HIGHER. Did anyone see the Birinyl book just released which shows the fallacy of buying and holding for the long term (several years). I say BUY NOW, and sell higher. All the solid companies will return to their all time highs, NOT IF, but WHEN is the only question, so rates of return, ROI, can't beat them based on my calculations. When the dust settles, it will only be a question of who the new owners of America are. Will you be one or not. I am, Truly your$, -Crystal Ball