SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: edward miller who wrote (8820)9/28/2001 10:47:13 AM
From: jim_p  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 23153
 
It's due to an over sold sector, and quarter end window dressing.

For those who missed out, you may get a nice chance to add to NG shorts later today.

Jim



To: edward miller who wrote (8820)9/28/2001 10:56:39 AM
From: Edmond Katonica  Respond to of 23153
 
Ed Miller

I think that the market was way over sold. I agree with Jim



To: edward miller who wrote (8820)9/28/2001 3:08:44 PM
From: energyplay  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 23153
 
Driving oil & gas stocks - i think it is form of "flight to quality" and out of Tech/Nasdaq.

Since IT spending is dead for this year, money moves to "safe" names. The fundamental numbers for energy stocks (which are trailing numbers0 look great - price / earnings, price cash flow, price /book (that old PV 10 ;-)

Being bought HEAVILY by people not familar with energy sector. Note that APC, one of the favorites, has been very storng, DVN, which "too much debt" , weakest.

Also lilkely to be a LOT of short covering - NG stocks were heavily shorted.

I expect a reversal of this in a few days/weeks as -

Non energy stocks look safer, especially banks
Short covering ends
the new investors learn that the forward quarters are lousy due to lower NG prices
Redemptions from mutual funds continue.

However, the flight to safety & mid east concerns will still tend to limit any sharp drop in energy.
The Risk/ reward of shorting NG stocks has changed.