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To: Jock Hutchinson who wrote (24230)9/28/2001 6:29:00 PM
From: sea_biscuit  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25814
 
Jock,

The Nasdaq 100 trades at something like 55 times next year's estimates earnings. And this assumes that next year's earnings will be double what they were this year, i.e. a super-robust recovery.

This is a market bottom? With valuations higher than at previous market tops? You would be lucky if this doesn't bleed any further. And even that is asking for a lot.



To: Jock Hutchinson who wrote (24230)9/28/2001 8:44:41 PM
From: sea_biscuit  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25814
 
... it is very likely that a tech stock moves in a 300% range over the course of a year.

Jock, even 300% will not help with two of your picks -- AVCI and TMTA. Two other picks, CIEN and JNPR, are almost there. And guess what -- these are the lowest-priced stocks of the lot.

So, while 300% moves are possible, especially with penny stocks like AVCI and TMTA, that won't buy you anything. You will be still under water.


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